Talking Cowboys draft targets, trade scenarios and more with Dane Brugler
By Jon Machota and Dane Brugler 28m ago
After the scouting combine last month in Indianapolis, we caught up with
The Athletic’s Dane Brugler to get his thoughts on several Cowboys-related draft topics. At that time, prospects like South Carolina defensive tackle Javon Kinlaw and Florida cornerback C.J. Henderson were popular possibilities for Dallas at Pick 17. As expected, things have changed with free agency and during a pre-draft process that has been conducted largely via video conference calls.
With the draft is only three days away, we caught back up with Brugler to get the latest on some more Cowboys-related draft scenarios and topics.
What are your plans this week for all seven rounds of the draft?
Just like the past few years, I will be part of the DallasCowboys.com draft coverage, which will be simulcast with 105.3 The Fan in Dallas on Friday and Saturday. It’s going to be a lot of fun. We’re all going to be remote, so it’s going to be a little different. But it will be a lot of fun to cover all 255 picks. Anyone who has tuned in before knows that even though it is a Cowboys angle, we still cover every single pick and how that will affect not only the team but how it affects the rest of the league and the balance of power. Moving to Ohio, I thought, ‘Well, that was fun, but that was it.’ But I’m glad that they brought me back, and I’m more than happy to be working with that crew.
When looking at the Cowboys’ first-round pick at No. 17, the two names we now hear the most are Henderson and LSU edge rusher K’Lavon Chaisson. Are either still a possibility at 17? Do they have a chance at getting either one if they stay where they’re at?
I don’t think so. I think those are the top two players on the Cowboys’ board (who have at least some chance of being there). Without actually being in the room to know that, that is my educated guess based off what I’ve heard. Just talking to people around the league, that’s kind of the sense I get. I think there is a chance that Chaisson could fall to No. 17, but a better chance both are off the board in the first 16 picks. So if they did want one of those two, they would have to trade up, which seems unlikely. It seems like a trade back would be more of a possibility for this team with where they are and needing those Day 2 picks for younger players, cheaper players that can come in and contribute. I do not think that C.J. Henderson or K’Lavon Chaisson will be Dallas Cowboys when the draft is all said and done.
You had Alabama cornerback Trevon Diggs going to the Cowboys at 17 in your seven-round mock draft last week. Could they still get Diggs if they traded back a few spots?
If they stay at 17, I think that the three players we need to be talking about are the two Alabama defensive backs, Trevon Diggs and (safety) Xavier McKinney, and also (Clemson cornerback) A.J. Terrell. He is really, really interesting. I think he’s going to go higher than a lot of people think. I think he’s going to go somewhere in the top 19 picks. He’s not really talked about as a guy that’s a solid first-round pick, but when you talk about a player who is 6-1, 195 pounds, 4.42 (40-yard dash) speed, he didn’t have a great national championship game. That’s what everyone’s lasting picture is of A.J. Terrell, getting burned by (LSU wide receiver) Ja’Marr Chase, but at the same time, considering his body of work over the course of the season and in previous years, he’s got a lot of talent. I think Terrell is a player that’s not being talked about enough who absolutely will be in the conversation at 17 if he’s still on the board.
At the combine, Kinlaw was probably the most popular name talked about in regards to the Cowboys. You had him falling to 20 in your mock draft last week. What’s the latest with him and why did you have him falling past the Cowboys?
With Kinlaw, I think everybody loves the talent. Nobody questions his raw talent. But when you have a player who has some injury issues that everybody is not going to be 100 percent comfortable with, the medicals are part of that conversation. His game is based more off potential than production. That’s part of the draft. A lot of these guys, you’re basing your evaluations on what they’re going to be, not necessarily what they are right now. Javon Kinlaw could still go top 16 somewhere, or he might fall outside of the top 20 picks. I think either are possible just because there is a wide range of opinion on not only the medicals with him but also whether he will ultimately reach the immense potential that he has? Kinlaw only registered six tackles for loss last year. Now, part of that when you watch his tape is you see that he played nose tackle, he was asked to two-gap. He wasn’t really able to just let loose. But that just won’t be for everybody. Not everybody has that appetite for risk. With a player like Kinlaw, it’s really intriguing to think about what he can be two years, three years from now, but that’s just not going to be for everybody.
You had the Cowboys drafting a linebacker in the third round and wrote that the position is a “sneaky important need” for Dallas. Why do you feel that way and how surprised would you be if they targeted a linebacker in the first round, like Oklahoma’s Kenneth Murray or LSU’s Patrick Queen?
I don’t think you can rule out linebacker in the first round, especially in a trade-back scenario where they are able to gain another draft pick and still get a Queen or a Murray or Zack Baun (from Wisconsin). I think that would make a lot of sense for this team. Linebacker is a need. I think Leighton Vander Esch is going to come back healthy. Jaylon Smith is making a lot of money and needs to play better. Plus, if they do commit to a 3-4 scheme then all of a sudden you need another inside ‘backer because that means Jaylon is going to play more of the SAM. Vander Esch is going to be on the inside, but you’re going to need another guy in there. They don’t have to go in that direction in Round 1, but if that’s how the board falls to them, maybe that’s the direction you go.
At some point in the first three or four rounds, it shouldn’t shock any Cowboys fans when they pick a linebacker. In the third round, I had them taking Logan Wilson out of Wyoming. He’s one of my favorite players in the draft. He played cornerback in high school. He didn’t have a ton of offers, goes to Wyoming, they move him to linebacker and he starts for four years, three-year team captain, over 400 tackles. He might be the best tackler in the draft. He also tested well. He’s a good athlete. He can blitz. He can drop (back into coverage). There’s just a lot to like about Logan Wilson. He might not even be there in the third round for the Cowboys. But I think he’s one of the more slept-on prospects in this draft.
If they don’t get a cornerback in Round 1 and are looking for one in the second, are there any that could potentially still be there for them at 51 that you like?
Jeff Gladney (TCU) could be there, especially considering that he’s coming off a knee injury. With the (medical) re-checks being so different this year, that’s something that could affect him on draft day. Kristian Fulton (LSU), I don’t know if he’s going to fall that far, but definitely a name to keep on the radar. Maybe not Round 2, but maybe Round 3. Troy Pride, the corner from Notre Dame, I think he’s a corner they like and they’ve put some interest in. He’s just under 6-foot, 195 pounds, he ran a 4.40 (40-yard dash). He has some up-and-down tape, but there’s a lot to like there with the traits and what he can develop into. Reggie Robinson from Tulsa is a guy who has really risen through his senior season. He played OK last year as a junior, but he missed part of the year with an injury. He came back this past year, and it’s like his confidence skyrocketed. He played a lot better, had like 17 passes defended. He’s a good size player, 6-1, 205. He tested really well. He’s physically impressive. He plays with instincts. He plays with awareness. He’s very aggressive. He can be undisciplined at times, but I love the mentality that he plays with. If they go corner in the second round, Gladney, Fulton, maybe Damon Arnette (Ohio State). In the third round, Troy Pride and Reggie Robinson are the names to keep on the radar.
After doing all the research you have, putting together The Beast draft guide, what are a couple of positions that are really deep in this draft class and a couple that are really thin?
Wide receiver. Obviously, that’s the position we’ve been talking about since the summer as being deep in every single round. We’re going to set records for the amount of receivers drafted in the top 100 and then the amount of receivers drafted overall throughout the course of the draft. I think cornerback is on that list as well. It’s not quite as deep as receiver, but you can really point to every single round and there being players that I think teams are going to be interested in. I think linebacker is a sneaky-deep group. We’re going to see Isaiah Simmons (Clemson) go early, Queen, Murray, Baun, they could all be first-rounders. And then on Day 2, guys like Jordan Brooks from Texas Tech, Malik Harrison from Ohio State, Logan Wilson from Wyoming. And into Day 3 there are options as well. Offensive tackle is one that is so top-heavy. We’re going to see maybe seven offensive tackles go in the first round, maybe eight in the top 40 picks. But then there’s going to be a big drop off. If you don’t get your tackle early, you’re going to be left without a chair, and you’re going to have to try to get lucky with one of the few offensive tackles on Day 2, Day 3 that project well at the next level. I would say interior offensive line is kind of opposite of offensive tackle, where we might not have an interior offensive lineman drafted in the first round, but that’s where it starts to pick up a little bit on Day 2. There are some quality options there.
How do you think the unique circumstances will impact this year’s draft? More trades? Less trades? More unpredictable?
At this time, teams are setting the framework for trades, and I think it’s going to be even more so this year where you almost try to get trades done — maybe not announced — so trades are ready to go when the draft plays out a certain way. We’re still going to see trades. Those aren’t going to go away. I think the teams that are really well run and have drafted well in the past, they’re going to be OK. But for teams that might have some turnover in the front office or the coaching staff (it will have an impact).
I think the Cowboys are somewhere in the middle because their front office is set. Their communication is set. With the Jones family, Will McClay, their scouts, they have a very good nucleus of how they do things and how things are run. But with a new coaching staff coming in, that’s an extra wrinkle of communication that maybe isn’t down 100 percent just yet. So there’s the potential for something to maybe not go completely right there. It’s going to be unprecedented. We’ve never seen anything like this. I think a lot of people are still trying to guess how it’s going to play out.