The Elon Musk Thread…

Cotton said:
It's going to happen faster than you probably think. I would say within 10 years we will be close to it being the exception to have a job rather than the rule.
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I don't think its happening that quickly. At least not some sort of mass produced robot that can just do everything. You may see non physical jobs replaced like phone answering services, secretarial services and things of that nature. But I doubt all construction and service industry's will be taken over that quickly. And professional services will probably be some of the last ones.

I'll believe it when I get my goddamn flying car I was promised as a child.
 
Chocolate Lab said:
Under Smitty's scenario, why do the robots keep us around? All we do is consume resources and contribute nothing, while they do all the work. Wouldn't take long for them to resent that.
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You keep a regulator on them that doesn’t let them think.

It’s the same reason my iPhone answers whenever I type a question into it.
 
Cotton said:
It's going to happen faster than you probably think. I would say within 10 years we will be close to it being the exception to have a job rather than the rule.
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I don’t know if I believe ten years, but, at the same time, when it happens it will happen fast.

There’s pictures of NYC in like 1905 and everyone is riding a horse or buggy, there’s shit everywhere, the streets are all mud.

Then there’s a picture of the same street in 1910, not a horse in sight, all cars, the street are paved.
 
Smitty said:
I don’t know if I believe ten years, but, at the same time, when it happens it will happen fast.

There’s pictures of NYC in like 1905 and everyone is riding a horse or buggy, there’s shit everywhere, the streets are all mud.

Then there’s a picture of the same street in 1910, not a horse in sight, all cars, the street are paved.
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Yeah I just think production takes a certain amount of time to ramp up to the world some people are thinking of where robots do everything. Like you have to gather enough materials to even get there.
 
Cowboysrock55 said:
Like you have to gather enough materials to even get there.
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And, you get enough of a robot base and that "gathering" and production time will get cut way down. Hell, AI will be driving the trucks that bring the materials. As soon as they get enough going they will be mass producing themselves. I mean, think about it. 1 robot produces 5 in a week, then those 5 put out 25 the next week, and so forth. You would have a million of them before you could even decide where to store them all.
 
Cotton said:
And, you get enough of a robot base and that "gathering" and production time will get cut way down. Hell, AI will be driving the trucks that bring the materials. As soon as they get enough going they will be mass producing themselves. I mean, think about it. 1 robot produces 5 in a week, then those 5 put out 25 the next week, and so forth. You would have a million of them before you could even decide where to store them all.
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Yes but to make those robots you need production. You need materials. Somethings can't be done instantaneously. Hardening of metal for example. Not saying it will take forever but the majority of AI you see for a long while will be self contained in computers and that sort of thing.
 
Cowboysrock55 said:
the majority of AI you see for a long while will be self contained in computers
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Even "contained" in cyber space they can do a massive amount of damage. Imagine every self-driving vehicle on the planet getting hacked all at the same time. It could cause massive chaos and death juts from that. And that isn't even factoring in what it could do if it hacked into our government's most secret files. And, it only takes one developer "training" one of these AI models with malicious intent.
 
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