Simpleton
DCC 4Life
- Joined
- Apr 8, 2013
- Messages
- 23,411
Yes actually. This isn't Bitcoin or a stamp collection. You have to get actual value for what you're paying. You can't just pay a first for say, Deebo Samuel and just throw up your hands and say it's fine because that's the going price for receivers nowadays.
That's not to say Brown is Deebo. But let's say Brown puts up this year the average of his past two seasons - about 70 catches and about 1000 yards. Was that worth a first? No, because you can get that type of production a lot cheaper than that.
NE paid for the guy Brown was 3 seasons ago. Maybe he gets back to that. Maybe. But it's enough of an uncertainty and risk that he shouldn't have commanded a premium price tag.
If I had to bet he'll easily put up 1100-2200+ and 8-10 TD's, Hurts and their shitty passing game was a big part of the statistical dip.