2023 Draft Big Boards, Position Rankings & Mocks

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27. Buffalo Bills
Keion White, OLB, Georgia Tech

Buffalo's roster doesn't have many holes, so it might be "best player available" -- and White is a steal at this point in Round 1. The 6-5, 285-pounder posted 7.5 sacks in 2022, had a great Senior Bowl week and then looked good at the combine. The Bills used a first-rounder on Greg Rousseau in 2021 and then signed Von Miller last offseason, but adding White to the pass-rush mix helps build out a really good group. Buffalo was 14th in sacks (40) and pressure rate (30.0%) last season, and White can contribute off the edge early in his career.

Alternatively, the Bills could shore up the offensive line since both starting tackles are entering their final two years under contract. Oklahoma tackle Anton Harrison or Florida guard O'Cyrus Torrence might make sense.

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28. Cincinnati Bengals
Anton Harrison, OT, Oklahoma

The Bengals gave up 44 sacks in 2022, which tied for 20th in the NFL. They also ranked 30th in pass block win rate at a tick above 50%. As they get set to pay quarterback Joe Burrow on a big extension, they might want to do something about reducing the hits on him. Plus, La'el Collins is returning from a torn ACL, and Jonah Williams missed time during the playoffs with a dislocated kneecap, so depth is important. Harrison is tough to shake once he's locked on in pass protection, and he allowed just two sacks over 34 games at Oklahoma (24 starts).

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29. New Orleans Saints (via DEN/MIA/SF)
Bryan Bresee, DT, Clemson

Bresee is coming off a tough season -- he recorded just 3.5 sacks and dealt with a kidney infection and the death of his sister -- but we can see the talent on the tape. At 6-6 and 298 pounds, he displays great upper-body strength and quick hands. I like the fit as a run-plugger in the middle of the Saints' defense, replacing free agent David Onyemata. The Saints' run D gave up 4.5 yards per carry last season, which ranked 20th.

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30. Philadelphia Eagles
Calijah Kancey, DT, Pittsburgh

Eagles GM Howie Roseman loves building his roster up from the trenches, and after landing an impact running back in Robinson earlier in Round 1, he can pick up one of the biggest combine standouts here. Kancey ran the fastest 40-yard dash for a defensive tackle at the combine since 2006, turning in a 4.67. He's a disruptive player with explosive traits, and he had 14.5 sacks and 28.5 tackles for loss over the past two seasons. But he's a bit of a 'tweener at 281 pounds, meaning he might move around Philly's defensive line. With Javon Hargrave, Fletcher Cox, Brandon Graham, Robert Quinn, Ndamukong Suh and Linval Joseph all entering free agency from that line, Kancey's versatility would be welcomed.

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31. Kansas City Chiefs
Derick Hall, DE, Auburn


What can the Super Bowl champs do to improve at the end of Round 1? Offensive tackle and receiver are the top needs, but there is no value on the board at either position. Maybe Alabama safety Brian Branch could work in the slot or replace free agent Juan Thornhill on the back end? Perhaps the Chiefs do what they did the last time they won a Super Bowl and cap off the first round with a running back, since Alabama's Jahmyr Gibbs is still on the board. Or would GM Brett Veach be tempted by the off-the-chart physical traits of Georgia tight end Darnell Washington and opt to put him opposite Travis Kelce?

All decent options. But adding another pass-rusher never hurts, and while the Chiefs were second in sacks last season, 21 of their 55 came when defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo dialed up a blitz. Hall had 16 sacks and 26 tackles for loss over the past two seasons, and he just posted a 10-foot-7 broad jump and ran the 40 in 4.55 seconds at 254 pounds at the combine. That's really good. He's sudden and takes off in a flash. Let's add him to the mix in K.C. opposite 2022 first-rounder George Karlaftis, especially with Carlos Dunlap and now Frank Clark hitting free agency.
Of those guys, are any of them a better value? Maybe Kancey? That is as high as I have seen Hall go up until this point.
 
Of those guys, are any of them a better value? Maybe Kancey? That is as high as I have seen Hall go up until this point.

It's highly unlikely that there will be someone available at 26 who is a clear and glaringly obvious better pick than someone like Mayer or Kincaid or even Washington.

There will be guys available who we can argue over, guys like Kancey and Bresee, maybe a WR or two, but Mayer and Kincaid are right there with any of them in terms of quality of prospect.
 
It's highly unlikely that there will be someone available at 26 who is a clear and glaringly obvious better pick than someone like Mayer or Kincaid or even Washington.

There will be guys available who we can argue over, guys like Kancey and Bresee, maybe a WR or two, but Mayer and Kincaid are right there with any of them in terms of quality of prospect.
I would say any of the top three TEs are a better value in terms of bang for the buck than Breese for sure.
 
I would say any of the top three TEs are a better value in terms of bang for the buck than Breese for sure.

I disagree but I'll explain why soon enough, although I wouldn't argue with taking any of the TE's over him especially since so much of his evaluation is unknown and health-related.
 
I disagree but I'll explain why soon enough, although I wouldn't argue with taking any of the TE's over him especially since so much of his evaluation is unknown and health-related.
Cool. I eagerly anticipate why you think Bresse would be a Dan Quinn favorite.

About the best thing he does from my perspective is that he has a good sense when he stunts and he has the white boy non-stop motor.

The way he looks on the field, I am amazed he tested as well as he did. He just has a weird body type.
 
Cool. I eagerly anticipate why you think Bresse would be a Dan Quinn favorite.

About the best thing he does from my perspective is that he has a good sense when he stunts and he has the white boy non-stop motor.

The way he looks on the field, I am amazed he tested as well as he did. He just has a weird body type.

I don't think he's a Quinn type because of his lack of length, but he has rare pass rush ability for a 300 lb guy, kind of similar to what you see out of Carter actually on terms of his movement ability.

He does have a weird frame though, he doesn't look like a finely tuned athlete.
 
I don't think he's a Quinn type because of his lack of length, but he has rare pass rush ability for a 300 lb guy, kind of similar to what you see out of Carter actually on terms of his movement ability.

He does have a weird frame though, he doesn't look like a finely tuned athlete.

See, I don't see his pass rush ability as rare. He can slip blocks against the likes of some schlub playing for The Citadel, but I have yet to see evidence otherwise.
 
See, I don't see his pass rush ability as rare. He can slip blocks against the likes of some schlub playing for The Citadel, but I have yet to see evidence otherwise.

Yeah I don't see it at all. His splash plays are meh to me. Stunts where he almost goes unblocked, blown blocking assignments by the Oline and things like that. He doesn't look that quick to me and displays minimal pass rush moves.

Go watch Kancey and it's like night and day. It's not even close in my opinion. I really don't get the Bresee love. Reminds me of that white Florida DT who went in the first not long ago who I thought was trash too. Taven Bryan who had similar size and looked similar when you watched him play in college too.

I'll say it now, Mazi Smith looks like twice the DT Bresee is. Just better pass rush moves, looks way more powerful and honestly I like his initial burst better. And I know that flies in the face of concensus. But watch them and tell me why I'm wrong.
 
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This is the full mock from Brugler:

1. Indianapolis Colts (Chicago) - C.J. Stroud QB Ohio St.
2. Houston Texans - Bryce Young QB Alabama
3. Arizona Cardinals - Will Anderson Jr. EDGE Alabama
4. Carolina Panthers (Indy thru Chicago) - Anthony Richardson QB Florida
5. Seattle Seahawks (Denver) - Jalen Carter DT Georgia
6. Detroit Lions (L.A. Rams) - Christian Gonzalez CB Oregon
7. Las Vegas Raiders - Will Levis QB Kentucky
8. Atlanta Falcons - Tyree Wilson EDGE Texas Tech
9. Chicago Bears (Carolina) - Lukas Van Ness DL Iowa
10. New England Patriots (New Orleans thru Phila) - Peter Skoronski T/G Northwestern
11. Tennessee Titans - Paris Johnson Jr. T Ohio St.
12. Houston Texans (Cleveland) - Nolan Smith EDGE Georgia
13. New York Jets - Broderick Jones T Georgia
14. Philadelphia Eagles (New England) - Bijan Robinson RB Texas
15. Green Bay Packers - Brian Branch DB Alabama
16. Washington (Red)skins - Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois
17. Pittsburgh Steelers - Joey Porter Jr. Penn St.
18. Detroit Lions - Calijah Kancey DT Pittsburgh
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Myles Murphy EDGE Clemson
20. Seattle Seahawks - Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR Ohio St.
21. Los Angeles Chargers - Michael Mayer TE Notre Dame
22. Baltimore Ravens - Zay Flowers WR Boston College
23. Minnesota Vikings - Deonte Banks CB Maryland
24. Jacksonville Jaguars - Darnell Washington TE Georgia
25. New York Giants - Jordan Addison WR USC

26. Dallas Cowboys - Dalton Kincaid TE Utah
The last time the Cowboys drafted a tight end in the first round (David LaFleur in 1997), Barry Switzer was still head coach. But the current Cowboys are looking for playmakers on offense and Kincaid offers a unique profile. He could give Dak Prescott quick wins, like the aforementioned Schultz, while also providing more explosive potential with his seam and run-after-catch skills.

27. Buffalo Bills - Drew Sanders LB Arkansas
28. Cincinnati Bengals - Anton Harrison T Oklahoma
29. New Orleans Saints - (San Fran thru Mia, Den) - Bryan Bresee DT Clemson
30. Philadelphia Eagles - Darnell Wright T/G Tennessee
31. Kansas City Chiefs - Dawand Jones T Ohio St.
 
 
@Cowboysrock55 @boozeman

Because you guys got so fucking mouthy about it.

I'm just going to ignore the off field/health stuff with Bresee because there's no way of knowing what the deal is there. He missed most of 2021 with an ACL and was in and out of the lineup this past year with random things, not to mention his sister dying during the season as well.

With all that said, from a pure statistical perspective the guy put up 5.5 TFL and 3.5 sacks in 10 games, compare that to Jalen Carter who put up 7/3 in 13 games. For their careers Bresee has 15 TFL and 9 sacks over 25 games, Carter has 18.5 and 6 over 35. If you prorate that production over 35 games you're at 21 TFL and 12 sacks.

But maybe that's just because of Georgia's scheme?

Well Kancey put up 34.5 TFL and 16 sacks over 33 games, if you prorate Bresee's production over the same number of games that's 20 TFL and 12 sacks.

Not significantly different considering one guy is 6-1, 280 and the other has prototypical size at 6-5, 300.

But the stats are one thing, the tape is another, I just wanted to make the point that he's not some sort of dud statistically.

Given that he was coming off an ACL and in and out of the lineup all year I decided to watch his last two games at Clemson (ACC Championship vs. UNC and their bowl game against Tennesee) to get the best sense of who the guy is right now.

Let me first say that he was only playing around 25-30 snaps in each game, presumably because he missed so much time and was on the precipice of going to the NFL. He's clearly better rushing the passer than playing the run but it's hard to tell whether or not that's just because they tended to use him more in clear passing situations at this point in time. Either way, he at least has the size to develop into a decent interior run defender whereas someone like Kancey will probably never be able to line up on the interior on 3rd and 2.

At any rate, here we go:



Tennessee:

1st Q

14:37 - clean crossface vs. 58-D. Wright with a rip that leaves him bending at the waist, then fights through the RG to pressure the QB, in the NFL this would likely be counted as a QB hit
8:58 - holds the POA and stands up an RG/RT DBL (including Wright) and forces the RB to run into the back of his linemen
8:35 - beats 58-D. Wright clean to the inside with a rip, this would've been counted as a QB hit in the NFL
6:17 - beats 58-D. Wright clean with a swim to the inside, Wright is left diving at air because he was beat so cleanly and as he's going to the ground he wraps his arm around Bresee's waist for what should've been a holding penalty

2nd Q

14:08 - fights through both the RG and the RT as he's crashing on a stunt/twist game for a sack, a bit of a coverage sack but this pressure isn't even designed for him to be the one getting to the QB and the ability to keep his balance/feet under him through contact, along with the burst to accelerate through the pocket with trash around him in a tight space is impressive and not something that is easy to find in a 300+ lb. guy

3rd Q

10:26 - beats the RG off the snap for a clean pressure, forces the QB out of the pocket and into scramble mode in under 2 seconds
7:00 - forces the RG into a holding penalty
6:31 - beats the RG clean with a swim, gets held around the waist that goes uncalled again

4th Q

9:28 - holds the POA and stands up 58-D.Wright on a run to his side

That's a solid 5-6 impact plays in only about 25 or so plays against a high-level opponent and a guy in Darnell Wright who is probably going to be a first rounder and no worse than a top 40 pick in about 6 weeks.



UNC:

1st Q

None

2nd Q

9:30 - beats 72-A.Richards cleanly with an inside swim, likely counted as a QB hit in the NFL

3rd Q

12:54 - beats the RT with a bit of a push/pull and slight rip, his jersey gets tugged for what should've been a hold but again, this would've been a QB hit in the NFL, it's maybe a little bit of a coverage play but he gets to the QB in ~3 seconds which is about the threshold within which you want to get pressure
12:47 - murders the RT with an inside spin, likely another QB hit
5:05 - beats the RG to the inside right off the snap and forces a hurried throw in about 2 seconds or less
:42 - absorbs 2 blockers and what amounts to a DBL on an inside zone without giving up ground and causes a pileup in the middle of the field, ruining the play

4th Q

11:39 - kills the center right off the snap with a chop to the shoulder+rip that forces the QB off his spot in under 2 seconds, the play immediately turns into a scramble drill

Again, we're only talking about 25 or so plays here and yet we're getting 4-5 impact plays, including one against a guy in Asim Richards who was 3rd team All-ACC, a Combine invite and a guy who will likely at least be on a practice squad in about 6 months.

---

Over about 50 plays against two high quality opponents, including OL who will be in the NFL next year, you're getting about 8-10 impact plays including a sack and at least 3-4 if not 5-6 QB hits, along with a couple solid plays against the run. For reference, if you're getting 3-4 QB hits per 50-60 snaps in the NFL you're going to be in the top 2-3 in the entire league.

Now, there are some things I definitely don't like. The guy seems to play like a DE in a DT's body in terms of wanting to get upfield first and foremost, which I think is a function of how he played in HS, and his pad level is really bad so he often loses leverage battles when he doesn't win with his burst off the snap, but all of that could also be because he was primarily used in pass-rushing situations in those games.

With all that said, the upfield burst/penetration and pass rush plan/counters shown in just these few snaps is rare to see out of a 300 lb. prospect, particularly when they're being deployed against OT's and high caliber ones at that. You just don't see guys this size beating first round OT's by crossing their face to the inside with quickness or whipping them with swims and spins to the point that they're lunging at air, it reminds me of how KC uses Chris Jones by kicking him out to DE at times despite the fact that you never see guys that size moving outside.

Of course there is risk in terms of the health stuff but if you want someone who can be an impact DT while also bringing prototypical size that projects to having the potential to be a complete player who can rush the passer and hold up reasonably well against the run, Bresee is about as close as you'll ever get at the end of the first round.

I think he brings more juice as a pass-rusher than any 1st round DT over the last few years, aside from Kancey of course, who I'd also be fine with at 26. Ultimately I'd be surprised if we took him with only 32.5 inch arms (Carter has 33.5 inch arms and Jones is at 34.5) but I think that would be short-sighted, just like it would be with Kancey who has sub-31 inches.

For reference, Chris Jones put up 18 TFL and 8.5 sacks over 38 college games.
 
@Cowboysrock55 @boozeman

Because you guys got so fucking mouthy about it.

Props my friend. I'll have to watch those games when I have free time. You have to go through a lot of plays to find the ones where he is on the field. But you put in the time so I'll go through and find the plays to give the guy a shot.
 
Props my friend. I'll have to watch those games when I have free time. You have to go through a lot of plays to find the ones where he is on the field. But you put in the time so I'll go through and find the plays to give the guy a shot.

Thanks, he was probably only playing about half the snaps but there's a bunch of reasons for that, and ultimately it doesn't really bother me as long as you see the ability/production given that ideally you want most of your top DL in the 60-70% snap range to begin with.

But again, the health stuff is obviously a black box, who knows what the situation is there.
 
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