The Coronavirus Thread...

L.T. Fan

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The numbers that jump out at me from the USA is basically the same number of “recovered” as deaths...
Most countries have a larger base of recovered than dead, Germany is like 20 recovered for every death.
Probably has to do with the moment of the crisis, but going from those numbers you’d have a 50/50 chance in the USA if you get coronavirus.
I got chastised by some for even bringing up that this whole thing has in part due to knee jerk and politically charged hotheads and the recovery statics are almost hidden. Even today the press still are playing politics and have nothing to say about comparative stats to prior pandemics. It’s simply disgraceful at the actions that take priority over finding ways to get this behind us. The media and politicians are just stark raving insane about using this to stir the pot.
 

jsmith6919

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He dead
 

Angrymesscan

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I got chastised by some for even bringing up that this whole thing has in part due to knee jerk and politically charged hotheads and the recovery statics are almost hidden. Even today the press still are playing politics and have nothing to say about comparative stats to prior pandemics. It’s simply disgraceful at the actions that take priority over finding ways to get this behind us. The media and politicians are just stark raving insane about using this to stir the pot.
What?
 

Angrymesscan

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What does what mean?
I mention that unlike most countries where the number of recovered patients is much bigger than the number of deaths in the US they're almost equal and you say something about the media and politics stirring the pot...?
 

L.T. Fan

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I mention that unlike most countries where the number of recovered patients is much bigger than the number of deaths in the US they're almost equal and you say something about the media and politics stirring the pot...?
I was agreeing with you that the numbers needed to looked at more objectively.
 

Sheik

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The numbers that jump out at me from the USA is basically the same number of “recovered” as deaths...
Most countries have a larger base of recovered than dead, Germany is like 20 recovered for every death.
Probably has to do with the moment of the crisis, but going from those numbers you’d have a 50/50 chance in the USA if you get coronavirus.
Wait, what?

Forgive me, I don’t understand the logic there. Or am I reading it wrong?
 

Sheik

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Never mind @Angrymesscan

I thought you were quoting what I said. Recovered and death numbers aren’t the only numbers to consider. Confirmed cases have to be taken into account.

500k+ cases doesn’t give you a 50/50 chance at survival if you only have 25k deaths.
 

Sheik

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I think he's comparing the reported "recovered" numbers to the mortality numbers

Problem is I dont think the recovered numbers are accurately tracked and reported

They can’t be. How many people have had this and never even coughed or sniffled? How many people have tested positive and been sent home and since recovered?

There’s literally no way to add them to the recovered list, not unless every positive case has been tested again until they test negative.

Im sure I’ll be corrected if I’m out of line, but I assume that recovered numbers are for those people who have been hospitalized and since been released.
 

L.T. Fan

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I think he's comparing the reported "recovered" numbers to the mortality numbers

Problem is I dont think the recovered numbers are accurately tracked and reported

Thanks. You can get the number but it’s hard to find the percentage factor.
 

Angrymesscan

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I think he's comparing the reported "recovered" numbers to the mortality numbers

Problem is I dont think the recovered numbers are accurately tracked and reported

That is the thing, about 10% have "gone through the cycle" of the virus 55k of 550k. Of that 10%, 6% came out "recovered" while 4% died. If those numbers held up (and I really don't know why they're like that in the US) of the 500k still going 200k would be expected to die.
 
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