2024 POTUS Thread...

[Sheik]

For the record, someone on Reddit posted the following:




"I was watching ABC News this evening just to see what they were saying about the Selzer “Harris +3 Iowa” poll, and the correspondent ABC has that talks to both campaigns said that he spoke to the Harris campaign today, and they don’t actually believe she will win Iowa."

Nonody believes it outside of a few paid influencers on X.

It was a shock poll that the Harris campaign was given two days ago and even they didn’t really do anything with it but flush it.

Seltzer has been accurate in the past, but they’ve also been way off before. They had Kerry winning by like 4 or 5 in 2004.

Regardless of what happens on Tuesday, Wednesday is going to be turbulent no matter who wins. I expect chaos for a while.

 

[Cujo]

Nonody believes it outside of a few paid influencers on X.

It was a shock poll that the Harris campaign was given two days ago and even they didn’t really do anything with it but flush it.

Seltzer has been accurate in the past, but they’ve also been way off before. They had Kerry winning by like 4 or 5 in 2004.

Regardless of what happens on Tuesday, Wednesday is going to be turbulent no matter who wins. I expect chaos for a while.

My stress level has been exceptionally high over the last 2 weeks or so, I'm ready for this shit to be over with.

 

[Cotton]

 

[Cotton]

 

[Smitty]

 

[Simpleton]

For the record, someone on Reddit posted the following:




"I was watching ABC News this evening just to see what they were saying about the Selzer “Harris +3 Iowa” poll, and the correspondent ABC has that talks to both campaigns said that he spoke to the Harris campaign today, and they don’t actually believe she will win Iowa."

I don't think there's much chance she wins Iowa, but if she's outperforming to the point that it's within a few percentage points she's probably winning MI, WI and PA.

 

[Genghis Khan]

I don't think there's much chance she wins Iowa, but if she's outperforming to the point that it's within a few percentage points she's probably winning MI, WI and PA.

That "if" is doing a lot of heavy lifting.

 

[bbgun]

omg, pure cringe

 

[Genghis Khan]

omg, pure cringe

 

[Smitty]

I don't think there's much chance she wins Iowa, but if she's outperforming to the point that it's within a few percentage points she's probably winning MI, WI and PA.

It's possible but there is really no way to know who is right at this point.

Each side is (publicly) pretty confident in their polling numbers and each side has been horrifically wrong at least once the last decade.

The only thing you can say definitively is that this is the best pre-election status that Trump has been sitting on in any of his three elections. He's outperformed the last two substantially in one win and one loss. On top of that, Republican early turnout is also way, way higher comparative to Democrats at any time in the last decade as well.

Are the polls wrong the other way this time, like in 2022, in an election where he wasn't on the ballot? Have Republican early turnout gains merely sapped their election-day base? We will see.

 

[Simpleton]

That "if" is doing a lot of heavy lifting.

Yea I mean that's the point of a poll.

 

[Chocolate Lab]

 

[Genghis Khan]

Bat shit crazy. This is a completely mentally unstable person.

 

[Genghis Khan]

Yea I mean that's the point of a poll.

But you're saying the poll is probably wrong but still using it to draw a conclusion.

It's a big 'if' because the poll is such an anomaly that even the Harris campaign doesn't believe it.

 

[Sheik]

If any of you are married to a white liberal woman, I beg you, please hide the knives and firearms before you go to bed.

I wouldn’t even have plastic bags in the house. Hammers, bricks, tools. Lock it all away.

Maybe don’t eat what she cooks either. It would be more prudent to leave with your life.

 

[Cowboysrock55]

The Democratic propaganda machine can really fuck with people's minds. I don't really fully understand how people can buy into obvious BS like this but I'm sure it feels like reality to her.

 

[Cujo]

California is completely lost. The Republicans will never get it back.

 

[Smitty]

 

[Chocolate Lab]

 

[Cujo]

God, I hope so. This is the state that matters the most.