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DCC 4Life
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- Apr 10, 2013
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ByPatrik Walker 4 hours ago
Grab your Sports Almanac, Marty, and let's talk about Amari Cooper.
You hate the trade, or maybe you love the move but not the cost. That's fair, and the latter is a point I share(d) with you. When it was rumored the Oakland Raiders were willing to entertain offers for Cooper, it made a ton of sense for the Dallas Cowboys to be in the front of that lunch line. After all, they're fourth-worst in the NFL in both total offense and in passing yards per game (183.1), and now sit at a record of 3-4 record that includes being 0-4 on the road in large part because of it. As expected, the usually-.500 Cowboys found a way to beat the No. 1 rated defense in the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6, blinding many to the obvious trend that would again resurface as it had only one week before at NRG Stadium against the Houston Texans.
Dak Prescott quarterbacked his way to a season-high 272 passing yards against the Washington Redskins, but there were again a series of drops by his targets that put them behind both the chains and the scoreboard. In the end, he tried to do too much and that's rarely ended well for him in the course of his short NFL career, just as it didn't on Oct. 21. Two fumbles awarded to the Redskins' defense and a 20-17 loss later and owner Jerry Jones had seen enough. It was time to put a spear through the heart of any thought the Cowboys could somehow stack wins without a definitive target for Prescott and defenses to key in on.
Only six months into the experiment, the team gave up a first-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft to bring in Cooper as the proposed can of Fix-A-Flat for a rapidly deflating tire.
That is a little rich for the blood of most, my own personal tolerances putting the ceiling at a second-round pick. That said, there's a reason the Cowboys went full bore with the trade, and a large part of it stems from the weakness of the upcoming draft class. As it stands, heading into their bye week, Dallas is set to pick 10th-overall -- a point that is wholly irrelevant as we have this conversation in mid-October. The fact is this is an 8-8 team without Cooper, meaning they'd more realistically be penciled in around the 15th- or 16th-overall selection, pending any potential tiebreakers.
Currently, there's no consensus top dog in that fight, and if you're looking to spend a mid-Day One pick on a wide receiver -- it better be a jackpot move. Here's a list of first-rounders over the last four seasons who were selected at the position league-wide:
2015 - Amari Cooper, DeVante Parker, Nelson Agholor, Breshad Perriman, Phillip Dorsett
2016 - Corey Coleman, Laquon Treadwell, Will Fuller, Josh Doctson
2017 - Mike Williams, John Ross, Corey Davis
2018 - Calvin Ridley, D.J. Moore
__
Of those listed above with more than two NFL seasons in tow, Cooper is the only player who's delivered a 1,000-yard season, and he did it twice in his first two years -- being named to the pro bowl both times and the PFWA All-Rookie Team in 2015. The remainder of the 2015 and 2016 draftees haven't come close to their draft status, Agholor landing in second place but still far behind Cooper, his career-high being 768 yards in his third season with the Philadelphia Eagles. Treadwell is still a work-in-unpleasant-progress and both Fuller and Doctson are No. 2 wideouts at best, with Coleman already a journeyman on his fourth team, now on the practice squad for the New England Patriots.
In the latter two classes, you can toss Ross in the pile labeled "bust" along with Coleman and if the guy's name isn't Ridley, he's not worth discussing right now as a true potential No. 1 wide receiver in the NFL. Mathematically, speaking, this group is abysmal on the whole. Allowing for more time on the last two draft classes -- for the sake of fairness -- that's still only one player in the previous nine picks who has proven himself capable of being the top guy, an 11% hit rate for league GMs at the position.
The Cowboys opted to not select Ridley in 2018 due to a dire need at the linebacker position, and Leighton Vander Esch has proven he was the right call. In looking both backwards at the recent selections and forward at those coming out of college in 2019, landing on Cooper with a first-round tag begins to make a lot more sense. He was drafted fourth-overall for a reason, and there's no consensus talent matching his that's coming down the pipe. He's also only 24 years old, nearly one year younger than quarterback Dak Prescott and the same age as Ridley every year for half a year at a time, meaning the Cowboys virtually "drafted" a two-time pro bowler in his early 20's instead of wagering their potential mid-Day One pick on a rookie they hope can contribute next season.
Additionally, they need to evaluate Prescott before contract talks begin and give one final swing at seeing what offensive coordinator Scott Linehan can do right now, and waiting to roll the dice on an unproven wideout next year does nothing for them in either regard.
Oh, salary you say? I hear you.
Yes, it'll cost the Cowboys more money on a contract with Cooper than a rookie deal over the next four or five years. He's owed $700,000 for the 2018 season, the final year of his rookie contract with the Raiders and his fifth-year option keeps him in Dallas through 2019. He'll land a hefty $13.924 million next season if the Cowboys don't extend him before then, but they'll also have nearly $70 million in available cap space, making it easy to carry that full load if they so chose. Any extension would obviously reduce that 2019 figure by quite a bit, making it a sensible move to go forward with one on a player they just gave up a first-rounder for.
Cooper is the now and the later at the position, a longtime tandem with Michael Gallup and (hopefully) Cole Beasley setting up for some serious firepower at WR. Could they say the same had they kept the pick and used it on someone from the generally questionable 2019 draft class?
Both history and future projections say no, and that's why they pulled the trigger. It was one step too high for me and probably you, but it's not like they gave up three picks for him (Roy Williams, circa 2003), the move on Cooper making much more sense on all fronts.
It's also time to find out what Prescott, Linehan and head coach Jason Garrett are truly made of, and that alone is worth speeding 88 mph toward the clock tower during the current lightning storm.
Lastly, speaking of trends, did you notice the number of wideouts selected in the first round decreased from five, to four, to three and then to two in 2018? Catch the hint there.
Feel a bit better now? You should.
Good talk.
Grab your Sports Almanac, Marty, and let's talk about Amari Cooper.
You hate the trade, or maybe you love the move but not the cost. That's fair, and the latter is a point I share(d) with you. When it was rumored the Oakland Raiders were willing to entertain offers for Cooper, it made a ton of sense for the Dallas Cowboys to be in the front of that lunch line. After all, they're fourth-worst in the NFL in both total offense and in passing yards per game (183.1), and now sit at a record of 3-4 record that includes being 0-4 on the road in large part because of it. As expected, the usually-.500 Cowboys found a way to beat the No. 1 rated defense in the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6, blinding many to the obvious trend that would again resurface as it had only one week before at NRG Stadium against the Houston Texans.
Dak Prescott quarterbacked his way to a season-high 272 passing yards against the Washington Redskins, but there were again a series of drops by his targets that put them behind both the chains and the scoreboard. In the end, he tried to do too much and that's rarely ended well for him in the course of his short NFL career, just as it didn't on Oct. 21. Two fumbles awarded to the Redskins' defense and a 20-17 loss later and owner Jerry Jones had seen enough. It was time to put a spear through the heart of any thought the Cowboys could somehow stack wins without a definitive target for Prescott and defenses to key in on.
Only six months into the experiment, the team gave up a first-round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft to bring in Cooper as the proposed can of Fix-A-Flat for a rapidly deflating tire.
That is a little rich for the blood of most, my own personal tolerances putting the ceiling at a second-round pick. That said, there's a reason the Cowboys went full bore with the trade, and a large part of it stems from the weakness of the upcoming draft class. As it stands, heading into their bye week, Dallas is set to pick 10th-overall -- a point that is wholly irrelevant as we have this conversation in mid-October. The fact is this is an 8-8 team without Cooper, meaning they'd more realistically be penciled in around the 15th- or 16th-overall selection, pending any potential tiebreakers.
Currently, there's no consensus top dog in that fight, and if you're looking to spend a mid-Day One pick on a wide receiver -- it better be a jackpot move. Here's a list of first-rounders over the last four seasons who were selected at the position league-wide:
2015 - Amari Cooper, DeVante Parker, Nelson Agholor, Breshad Perriman, Phillip Dorsett
2016 - Corey Coleman, Laquon Treadwell, Will Fuller, Josh Doctson
2017 - Mike Williams, John Ross, Corey Davis
2018 - Calvin Ridley, D.J. Moore
__
Of those listed above with more than two NFL seasons in tow, Cooper is the only player who's delivered a 1,000-yard season, and he did it twice in his first two years -- being named to the pro bowl both times and the PFWA All-Rookie Team in 2015. The remainder of the 2015 and 2016 draftees haven't come close to their draft status, Agholor landing in second place but still far behind Cooper, his career-high being 768 yards in his third season with the Philadelphia Eagles. Treadwell is still a work-in-unpleasant-progress and both Fuller and Doctson are No. 2 wideouts at best, with Coleman already a journeyman on his fourth team, now on the practice squad for the New England Patriots.
In the latter two classes, you can toss Ross in the pile labeled "bust" along with Coleman and if the guy's name isn't Ridley, he's not worth discussing right now as a true potential No. 1 wide receiver in the NFL. Mathematically, speaking, this group is abysmal on the whole. Allowing for more time on the last two draft classes -- for the sake of fairness -- that's still only one player in the previous nine picks who has proven himself capable of being the top guy, an 11% hit rate for league GMs at the position.
The Cowboys opted to not select Ridley in 2018 due to a dire need at the linebacker position, and Leighton Vander Esch has proven he was the right call. In looking both backwards at the recent selections and forward at those coming out of college in 2019, landing on Cooper with a first-round tag begins to make a lot more sense. He was drafted fourth-overall for a reason, and there's no consensus talent matching his that's coming down the pipe. He's also only 24 years old, nearly one year younger than quarterback Dak Prescott and the same age as Ridley every year for half a year at a time, meaning the Cowboys virtually "drafted" a two-time pro bowler in his early 20's instead of wagering their potential mid-Day One pick on a rookie they hope can contribute next season.
Additionally, they need to evaluate Prescott before contract talks begin and give one final swing at seeing what offensive coordinator Scott Linehan can do right now, and waiting to roll the dice on an unproven wideout next year does nothing for them in either regard.
Oh, salary you say? I hear you.
Yes, it'll cost the Cowboys more money on a contract with Cooper than a rookie deal over the next four or five years. He's owed $700,000 for the 2018 season, the final year of his rookie contract with the Raiders and his fifth-year option keeps him in Dallas through 2019. He'll land a hefty $13.924 million next season if the Cowboys don't extend him before then, but they'll also have nearly $70 million in available cap space, making it easy to carry that full load if they so chose. Any extension would obviously reduce that 2019 figure by quite a bit, making it a sensible move to go forward with one on a player they just gave up a first-rounder for.
Cooper is the now and the later at the position, a longtime tandem with Michael Gallup and (hopefully) Cole Beasley setting up for some serious firepower at WR. Could they say the same had they kept the pick and used it on someone from the generally questionable 2019 draft class?
Both history and future projections say no, and that's why they pulled the trigger. It was one step too high for me and probably you, but it's not like they gave up three picks for him (Roy Williams, circa 2003), the move on Cooper making much more sense on all fronts.
It's also time to find out what Prescott, Linehan and head coach Jason Garrett are truly made of, and that alone is worth speeding 88 mph toward the clock tower during the current lightning storm.
Lastly, speaking of trends, did you notice the number of wideouts selected in the first round decreased from five, to four, to three and then to two in 2018? Catch the hint there.
Feel a bit better now? You should.
Good talk.