I don't love how our secondary has been playing the last few games relative to going up against a red hot AJ Brown, but Hurts being a bit hobbled and not as much of a threat to run should help. More than anything I think this game will come down to what sort of gameplan Quinn can put together because I don't think we're going to whip their OL with our pass rush straight up like we do most teams, but we have the horses to get there situationally with twists/stunts, simulated pressures, delayed blitzers and so forth. You can't go to that well 20 times a game, but if Quinn can dial it up situationally when it's needed 5-8 times a game, we'll be in business.
The Eagles passing game is very basic overall because they've spent the better part of 2 years leaning on their OL and Hurts as a runner. It's mostly just a bunch of rub routes combined with a heavy focus on Brown on lots of in-breaking routes (slants, posts, digs/in's) with a handful of 50/50 prayer balls thrown up when it's single coverage. Quinn has to be able to warp their tendencies there by mixing up coverages and making Hurts hold onto the ball a bit longer than he should.
This is a game where I think we'll miss the size/length of Diggs, but Quinn and the staff knows damn good and well exactly what the Eagles want to do, but we're going to need a very nuanced, disciplined gameplan, particularly in the secondary.
Should be a tossup as long as we don't kill ourselves with penalties and turnovers, but I fear that it'll be a narrow loss primarily due to their OL being more cohesive (better coached obviously), of course with a few critical 4th and 1 conversions thrown in thanks to their bastardized bullshit QB sneak.
I feel like a win in this spot would be way bigger than a loss though given that it's on the road and the tiebreaker implications. At the moment I think we probably have a 40% or so chance of winning the division, if we win I feel like that'd jump to at least 75% (with HFA thrown in potentially), whereas a loss would barely drop our current chances at all.