If we can get a 2 game lead on Philly heading into December, we'll win the division.
They have a very tough game at Arizona this week, which they could lose. If we take care of our business and win all the games between now and Thanksgiving, which is very possible, then we could creat some real space by beating them on Thanksgiving.
They would still have to go to Green Bay too which is a loss. If it all unfolds that way, I like our chances of at least going 2-2 after Thanksgiving which is all it would take to deal the division.