I very much believe what that guy is saying.
Everyone knows Trump at this stage. You guys keep harping on the economy but it's inflation that's been the worst thing, but unemployment numbers aren't bad yet. I don't think people are in a spot where the independents are ready to "throw the bums out," yet, this isn't Jimmy Carter.
Too many people have a bad taste in their mouths regarding Trump.
We know it's all lies, but guess what? A lot of dumb independents believe all those media lies about him.
I very much think Trump has a ceiling. He was beating Biden because people were not gonna be willing to vote for a corpse. Harris is a bimbo but you have to realize that in today's society, they are getting votes based on a popularity contest. A modeling contest. Harris wins the "I look like a TV female president," contest and so she wins votes. She's getting enough of the independents in combination with her base, which would vote for a blue dog, to overcome Trump's ceiling. He has to win the independents and he's not.
And it's been relatively clear since 2020 that he could not. Re-nominating him was a mistake.