2021 Draft Big Boards, Position Rankings & Mocks

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Cowboysrock55

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I do appreciate Reuter's commitment to realism.
Last year's draft was awesome. I really hope for that again. 4 guys could be starting this year from last draft. Lamb, Diggs, Gallimore and Badass. That's excellent.
 

Rev

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Last year's draft was awesome. I really hope for that again. 4 guys could be starting this year from last draft. Lamb, Diggs, Gallimore and Badass. That's excellent.
If we do this again then we can have the special teams draft next year.
 

boozeman

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10. Traded to Patriots for 15, 46 and 2022 2nd
15. Patrick Surtain, CB, Alabama
32. Trade up to TB in exchange for 44, 75, 188 and 2022 3rd - Richie Grant, S, Central Florida
44. Traded to TB
46. Jabril Cox, LB, LSU
75. Traded to TB
99. Marlon Tuipulotu, DT, USC
115. Stone Forsythe, OT, Florida
138. Dayo Odeyingbo, DE, Purdue
179. Austin Watkins, WR, Alabama-Birmingham
188. Traded to TB
192. Jaylen Twyman, DT, Pittsburgh
217. Antonio Phillips, CB, Ball State
227. Ben Mason, FB, Michigan
238. Max Duffy, P, Kentucky
 

Cotton

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10. Traded to Patriots for 15, 46 and 2022 2nd
15. Patrick Surtain, CB, Alabama
32. Trade up to TB in exchange for 44, 75, 188 and 2022 3rd - Richie Grant, S, Central Florida
44. Traded to TB
46. Jabril Cox, LB, LSU
75. Traded to TB
99. Marlon Tuipulotu, DT, USC
115. Stone Forsythe, OT, Florida
138. Dayo Odeyingbo, DE, Purdue
179. Austin Watkins, WR, Alabama-Birmingham
188. Traded to TB
192. Jaylen Twyman, DT, Pittsburgh
217. Antonio Phillips, CB, Ball State
227. Ben Mason, FB, Michigan
238. Max Duffy, P, Kentucky
Are we sure @shoop didn't do this mock?
 

Cowboysrock55

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10. Traded to Patriots for 15, 46 and 2022 2nd
15. Patrick Surtain, CB, Alabama
32. Trade up to TB in exchange for 44, 75, 188 and 2022 3rd - Richie Grant, S, Central Florida
44. Traded to TB
46. Jabril Cox, LB, LSU
75. Traded to TB
99. Marlon Tuipulotu, DT, USC
115. Stone Forsythe, OT, Florida
138. Dayo Odeyingbo, DE, Purdue
179. Austin Watkins, WR, Alabama-Birmingham
188. Traded to TB
192. Jaylen Twyman, DT, Pittsburgh
217. Antonio Phillips, CB, Ball State
227. Ben Mason, FB, Michigan
238. Max Duffy, P, Kentucky
The trade up for Grant is awful. Not worth it.
 

shoop

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Are we sure @shoop didn't do this mock?
Yes. I wouldn’t trade up. I want as many picks between 20-100 as I can get. In this draft I would prefer quantity in that range. There are a lot of similarly ranked players in that area and there are not many that I feel strongly enough that I would fret over losing. In my “perfect world” we would trade down and have 6-8 picks in the top 100. I would likely draft a LB, 2 DTs, 2 CBS, a S, and any others would likely go to OL or a player I just couldn’t pass up due to talent. There is plenty of space to churn on this roster especially on defense. No ones job should be safe on defense except Diggs and even he should be informed that all jobs are up for grabs.
 

Plan9Misfit

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10. Traded to Patriots for 15, 46 and 2022 2nd
15. Patrick Surtain, CB, Alabama
32. Trade up to TB in exchange for 44, 75, 188 and 2022 3rd - Richie Grant, S, Central Florida
44. Traded to TB
46. Jabril Cox, LB, LSU
75. Traded to TB
99. Marlon Tuipulotu, DT, USC
115. Stone Forsythe, OT, Florida
138. Dayo Odeyingbo, DE, Purdue
179. Austin Watkins, WR, Alabama-Birmingham
188. Traded to TB
192. Jaylen Twyman, DT, Pittsburgh
217. Antonio Phillips, CB, Ball State
227. Ben Mason, FB, Michigan
238. Max Duffy, P, Kentucky
I wouldn’t have traded up. The better value is to keep the picks and see if Grant falls to 44. If not, draft Holland.
 

boozeman

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32 NFL Mock Drafts combined: Biggest reaches, top risers and fallers, and most popular locks


By Greg Auman 12m ago
27


As a final look ahead to this week’s NFL Draft, beat writers for all 32 teams were each tasked by The Athletic’s editors to post a seven-round mock draft for their teams on Monday, showing how they thought the board might fall this weekend.

Add them all together, and you’d think you might have a full 259-pick mock draft, but because all 32 are done independently and without consultation with the other writers, you actually get something more interesting. There’s quite a bit of overlap, as we discovered nearly a month ago when we did the same study of the last batch of seven-round mocks.

How much overlap? Out of those 259 picks, we mentioned only 163 players, with 64 showing up on more than one mock draft, some as many as five times. This makes sense; some players are inherently more well-known than others, or even more intriguing, and given the choice, a writer will want to float an exciting or unusual name as a better conversation piece.

This allows us to do a bit of mock-draft anthropology. If a writer is given the same assignment twice a month, how much will they change the selections from one version to the next? If there’s an entire story written about which players are most popular with a writing staff, will those players continue to show up frequently, or vanish entirely? You might be surprised by the results.

The most popular

This was curious: The six players who showed up in four or more mock drafts this week weren’t a big part of the last round of mocks. They were mentioned a combined 27 times this time, but last time, they were mentioned just seven times. Three of the players were not included at all.

Dayo Odeyingbo, DL, Vanderbilt: Somehow the player tied for the most mock-draft inclusions is a prospect who … tore his Achilles tendon during a workout in January. He’s a popular choice as a bargain pick who might not be immediately available. In last month’s mocks, he went at 80 and 90, but in this week’s, he fell to as low as 139 to the Patriots.

Jaelon Darden, WR, North Texas: Dane Brugler’s No. 29 receiver, speedy but short at 5-foot-7, showed up in five mocks, with three in the fourth round and two putting him in the sixth. He had video-game numbers last season, catching 19 touchdown passes in nine games after getting 12 the year before. “His foot quickness and home run gear will leave defenders in his dust,” Brugler wrote in his draft guide, listing him with a 4.44 in the 40-yard dash.

Zech McPhearson, CB: A month ago, he wasn’t in any of our mocks, but this time, he made five, showing up all over the map. Our Rams writer liked him enough to take him in the third round at No. 88, but our Texans writer thought he still might be there in the seventh round at 233. He had four interceptions last year and scored touchdowns on a 56-yard fumble return and a 90-yard blocked field goal, so there’s big-play potential, wherever he’s drafted.

Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern: How about getting picked in the first round four times? Newsome was the most popular first-round choice, showing up more often than Jaycee Horn (twice), Patrick Surtain (once) combined. Again, that points to expectations of the others being gone and off the board earlier in the draft, as much as it is excitement for Newsome’s upside.

Brady Christensen, T, BYU: Christensen redshirted and took a two-year mission to New Zealand, so he’ll turn 25 in September, but Brugler has him as the No. 8 tackle and No. 62 prospect in this draft. Christensen shows up in a tight cluster in the mid-third, getting picked four times between No. 74 and 86.

Richie Grant, S, Central Florida: Grant was in three mocks last time around and was in four this time, including two different mocks that had him going No. 33, one to the Jaguars and one to the Raiders after a trade with Jacksonville.

First-round favorites

If those 32 mock drafts were to interlock nicely anywhere, you’d think it’s in the first round, where much of draft speculation is focused. And yet we still play favorites, with six prospects showing up as first-rounders with multiple teams.

Newsome, who wasn’t in anyone’s mock draft last month, showed up four times in the first round, going to the Bears (20), Titans (22), Browns (26) and Bills (30) in different mock drafts. This could be a response to him being a hot name; by comparison, Virginia Tech’s Caleb Farley (who underwent a microdiscectomy last month) wasn’t in any of our new mocks.

The same is true at quarterback, as North Dakota’s Trey Lance got picked three times in the top 10, with the 49ers taking him (over Alabama’s Mac Jones) at 3, the Patriots trading up to get him at 7 and the Broncos taking him at 9. Nobody picked Jones, though it could be that everyone presumed he was going to San Francisco at 3, that is, except the writer actually picking for the 49ers.

Want an offensive tackle in the second half of the first round? Three of our writers picked Oklahoma State’s Teven Jenkins, who went to the Colts at 21, the Raiders at 25 and the Ravens at 27. USC guard Alijah Vera-Tucker went to the Cardinals at 16 and the Jets at 19. By comparison, nobody picked Northwestern’s Rashawn Slater — again, that could point to an acceptance that he’s already gone rather than any suggestion he isn’t coveted by teams.

Biggest disparity for when a first-rounder will go? Miami edge Jaelan Phillips was matched with the Dolphins (20) and Saints (30) in trades, but also as low as 40 to the Broncos. Alabama center Landon Dickerson made it into the first round with the Vikings in a trade at 32 but also made it all the way to the Packers in the second round at 62.



Landon Dickerson (Kent Gidley / Collegiate Images via Getty Images)
How much do you change your mock draft?

Most of our team beat writers wrote three or four seven-round mocks this spring, so there’s a natural question as to how much you change up your picks from one mock to the next. Give us your best guess: What percentage of the players from the last wave of mocks were paired with the same team in this week’s final editions?

The correct answer? The repeats accounted for just 39 of 259 picks, which works out to 15 percent. And of course, sticking with a choice is more likely at the top of the draft, as we did with five of the top seven picks — the Jaguars and Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence at 1, the Jets and BYU quarterback Zach Wilson at 2, the 49ers and Lance at 3, the Bengals and LSU receiver Ja’Marr Chase at 5. Our Patriots writer Jeff Howe had New England trading up for Lance in both drafts, going to 6 a month ago and 7 this week.

But only two other first-round picks were repeated, eight second-round picks were the same, and from the third round on, the percent who went to the same team was just 12 percent. To have so much change is logical, as in the real world, when teams test themselves by playing out hypotheticals, the players available when they’re on the clock will change greatly based on the picks ahead of them. Buccaneers general manager Jason Licht, accustomed to picking much higher than No. 32, said last week that it seems like there are “8,000 scenarios” just at the end of the first round.

We pointed out the six most popular players in the last round of our mock drafts, and perhaps as a result of that, those six were much less popular this time around. Those six — listed a combined 25 times in the previous mocks — appeared on just six mock drafts this time around. Syracuse safety Andrew Cisco went from five mentions to one; Wisconsin-Whitewater center Quinn Meinerz went from four to one, and Iowa edge Chauncey Golston and Oklahoma center Creed Humphrey each went from four to none. Boston College linebacker Isaiah McDuffie and Oklahoma State running back Chuba Hubbard both went from four picks to two.

Prospects with the least/greatest disparity where chosen

McPhearson not only showed up in five different mock drafts, he did so in four different rounds: the third, fourth, sixth and seventh. His difference from highest to lowest was 145 picks, easily the most of any prospect. The next closest was Ole Miss tight end Kenny Yeboah, whose picks ranged by 100, from the early fifth to the third-to-last pick of the draft. Of the 41 prospects to show up twice, the largest disparity was Penn State edge Shaka Toney, who went 127th to the Vikings and 209th to the Rams, a difference of 82 picks.
On the other end of things, seven prospects showed up twice and within a span of just four picks or less. That’s not unusual with a first-round pick like Horn (11th and 15th) or Vera-Tucker (16th and 19th), but it’s stranger with Arkansas defensive lineman Jonathan Marshall, chosen three picks apart at the end of the fifth round.

What about comparing picks to our Consensus Big Board, looking for the biggest reaches and most optimistic guys still available? McPhearson pops out here as well, going 88th in one mock with a consensus ranking of 242 for a difference of 154 spots. Close behind is Texas A&M guard Jared Hocker, taken 148th in one mock with a consensus of 295 for a +147 score. Other bold picks include Michigan tight end Ben Mason and Boston College linebacker Isaiah McDuffie, both 107 above consensus, and Central Florida tight end/receiver Jacob Harris, 106 spots higher than the consensus.

On the opposite end, Miami’s Jaelan Phillips is 19th on the consensus and went 41st in one mock, and Alabama’s Dickerson went 29 spots later than his consensus ranking, with Kentucky corner Kelvin Joseph (41 after consensus), Syracuse’s Cisco (42) and Louisiana Tech defensive lineman Milton Williams (46) among the most hopeful selections.
 

boozeman

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Bryan Broaddus' 2021 NFL Draft Top-51 Big Board


1. Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson - Proven winner. The moment will not be too big for him.
2. Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida - Rare player. Don't view as a TE - he's a weapon.
3. Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon - Was watching a 19-year-old block men off the screen.
4. Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU - As pure as they come when catching the ball.
5. Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State - Battle-tested. Can do a lot with his ability.
6. DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama - I believe this is Marvin Harrison.
7. Zach Wilson, QB, BYU - Don't let the baby face fool you. This guy comes to play.
8. Jaylen Waddle, WR, Ohio State - Goes everywhere to catch the ball. Super tough.
9. Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern - Scouts think this might be the next Martin/Nelson.
10. Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State - Has some Prescott to his game. Loves to mix it up.
11. Alijah Vera-Tucker, OG, USC - Can play this guy at OG or OT and be super pumped.
12. Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina - This guy hates his opponent when you study him.
13. Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech - Built like a truck moves like a sports car.
14. Jeremiah Owusu Koramoah, S, Notre Dame - Don't worry about a position - just play him.
15. Patrick Surtain, CB, Alabama - Is as steady as they come. Not a lot bothers him.
16. Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State - If locked in has a chance to be great.
17. Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia - Can bring it off the edge. Will need to add bulk.
18. Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa - Looks like a DE playing LB. Always around the ball.
19. Jaelan Phillips, EDGE, Miami (Fla.) -If medicals check out - he surely can play the part.
20. Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech - Maybe the best CB in the draft if not for his back history.
21. Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama - If he plays like he did in the final 3 games - love him.
22. Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida - Can hurt you at all levels.
23. Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern - Some questions about his length but he makes plays.
24. Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington - Ideal under tackle or 3 technique. Super active.
25. Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota - Want a guy that makes plays in the cold? Here you go.
26. Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan - In space, he can wreck your scheme but has to get space.
27. Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson - Shame we don’t value RBs because this guy does it all.
28. Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State - You're betting on the traits here because he lacks stats
29. Mac Jones, QB, Alabama - One year as a starter and one National Championship.
30. Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State - Impressive how well he moves for his size.
31. Najee Harris, RB, Alabama - This guy is a finisher. Doesn’t mind the workload at all.
32. Alex Leatherwood, OT, Alabama - Got better from his Jr to Sr season. Technique improved.

33. Jamin Davis, LB, Kentucky - Can't draw them up any better. Will never come off-field.
34. Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue - Is a defensive nightmare with the ball in his hands.
35. Carlos Basham, EDGE, Wake Forest - Might be too high on this guy but love the way he looks.
36. Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri - Has the ability to make every single tackle.
37. Richie Grant, DS, UCF - His uniform is generally the dirtiest on the defense.
38. Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington - Effort is unmatched. Is not going to quit on a play.
39. Landon Dickerson, OG, Alabama - This guy is just flat mean. Need to check his knee.
40. Asante Samuel Jr., CB, Florida State - Don’t let his lack of height fool you - he makes plays.
41. Jevon Holland, DS, Oregon - True free safety. Plays with range and can tackle.
42. Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami (Fla.) - Best production is when he lines up at DT.
43. Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss - Explosive player. Ability to make things happen.
44. Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas - Relentless player. Keeps coming after you.
45. Terrace Marshall, WR, LSU - Don't sleep on his ability. The more you target him the better he is.
46. Kelvin Joseph, CB, Kentucky - Transfer from LSU. Makes his share of plays.
47. Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas - More of an athlete than power player.
48. Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia - Has a nose for the ball. Is always creating big plays.
49. Trevon Moehrig, DS, TCU - Plays with his eyes. Impressive range. True free safety.
50. Jalen Mayfield, OG, Michigan - His mass helps him in running game. Stout in pass too.
51. Payton Turner, EDGE, Houston - Plays with some violence to his game. Physical finish.
 

Cotton

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Allbright's final mock:

2021 First Round NFL Mock Draft | Picks 1-16
If you are looking for some of the most recent, up-to-date NFL Draft rumors and buzz, make sure to continue to follow along with Pro Football Network as NFL Chief Draft Analyst and NFL Insider Tony Pauline breaks news throughout the three-day extravaganza.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson

2. New York Jets
Zach Wilson, QB, BYU

3. San Francisco 49ers (from Houston via Miami)
Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State

4. Atlanta Falcons
Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida

5. Cincinnati Bengals
Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU

6. Miami Dolphins (via Philadelphia)
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama

7. Los Angeles Chargers (projected trade with Detroit)
Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon

8. New England Patriots (projected trade with Carolina)
Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State

9. Denver Broncos
Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern

10. Dallas Cowboys
Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama

11. New York Giants
Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan

12. Philadelphia Eagles
Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina

13. Detroit Lions (projected trade with Los Angeles)
Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State

14. Minnesota Vikings
Alijah Vera-Tucker, OG, USC

15. Carolina Panthers (projected trade with New England)
Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech

16. Arizona Cardinals
DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama

 
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