Sturm's Draft Series

boozeman

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Goff or Wentz will be around at 4. Jerry just has to pull the trigger.
 

Cowboysrock55

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He does very skinny legs but if has not shown a propensity for injury I would not hold it against him, especially behind this line.
For a QB, I honestly don't care much about the size of his legs.
 

Cotton

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[h=1]Bob Sturm's Draft Profile Series: TCU's Josh Doctson Has Plenty Of Potential For NFL Success[/h]
By Bob Sturm, Special contributor Contact Bob Sturmon Twitter:@SportsSturm

I have never been a scout or a NFL General Manager, but I am willing to watch a ton of football. By watching about 200 snaps of each prospect, we can really get a feel for a player and then know what we are talking about a bit better. It is no exact science, but the NFL hasn't quite figured out drafting either, so we are going to do the best we can.To read more about the 2016 NFL Draft Project, Click Here.

Josh Doctson, WR, TCU - 6'3, 195 - RS Senior - #9

The 2015 TCU offense was something that will be long remembered in the Big 12, partly for its amazing dominance and then partly for its unfulfilling final month. The ending from their trip to Stillwater, Oklahoma on in was filled with injuries and the most significant went to Doctson who suffered a rather gruesome wrist injury and despite trying to return, effectively ended his season on November 7th. But, by that time he had already put the college football world and the draft community on notice that this late-bloomer has a chance to work his way all the way into the 1st round with a positively absurd production rate through the (basically) 9 games he did play in as well as his work in 2014.

His road to this spot is certainly not that of a player who had everything given to him. He grew up a fan of TCU, but then was not appealing as a recruit so he went to Wyoming. After a year there, he decided to return home, but had to walk-on at TCU to prove himself. From there he has simply developed into one of the most spectacular receivers in all of college football with a build that combines with amazing aerial skills that allow him to win just about any battle for a catch in the air. He averaged over 140 yards per game and had 14 touchdowns in just slightly over 9 starts. In other words, his QB, Trevone Boykin forced the ball into Doctson and nobody could slow them down all year until the injury hit, leaving many to wonder what might have been in their final year together in Fort Worth.

Now, that partnership is over, and the question becomes how far up draft boards can this redshirt senior go?







What I liked: He plays with a confidence that you want from a potential X receiver who is a lead dog and able to be a go-to guy. He runs routes off the same stem with great effectiveness and can get DBs turned around or so freaked out about the deep shot that he can take 10-12 yards on comebacks, outs, and digs all day long. He certainly is not a burner, but he quickly gets the opponent on notice and mixes up his routes pretty well. Then, where he is truly special is the battle for the ball. This can be both on the ground in slants or routes between defenders in a zone or it can be in the air. In the air, as the videos will clearly show, he doesn't lose very much. He goes up and finds the ball and then secures it with the ability to use his body as a buffer with surprising strength for his weight and then is acrobatic enough to make the catch and secure the ball before hitting the ground. He did it repeatedly and often enough that it shows it is no fluke. He is a special red zone threat. He will block on run plays with at least average effectiveness.





What I did not like: There is no question that he will attract attention at the Combine for both his measureables - height and weight - and his 40-time. He is certainly tall and 6'3 is perfect, but the questions will be whether he is able to carry much more weight than the 195 he has been listed at. The battles at the release are much more ferocious on Sundays and when he faces more press coverage, will he have some bulk to work with will be vital. Some scouts make this sort of thing the difference between a Round 1 and a Round 4 prospect. Can he get off at the snap versus NFL press? Also, he has been estimated to be about a 4.5 40 guy, which again is right at the type of time that Dez Bryant runs, so that should be fine - just need to get to that time when it counts. He does have about 1 random and unexplainable drop each game this past fall in the 5 games I watched for this study and I would describe those as perhaps volume drops because his hand skills seem pretty strong overall. In those cases, he was seeing the ball sometimes 20 times in a game so a drop in concentration is almost to be expected.





Summary and Potential Fit For the Cowboys: Doctson is in the Top 50 and maybe even in the mix for the 1st round. He has really shown he is willing to work hard and figure out what is needed and then he plays with a confidence and a competiveness that teams are going to want to get their hands on. He knows he is good and isn't afraid to show it. Also, with that catch radius and flair for the spectacular, it is easy to see why we should not be shocked if he doesn't get to that Dallas pick at the top of Round 2. But, if he does, expect the name to be quite high on their board. The fan-base salivates with getting another highlight film receiver opposite Dez Bryant for 2016. You can never have too many weapons. And make no mistake, Josh Doctson looks like a weapon in the NFL for years to come.

You can view plenty of his tape here at Draftbreakdown.com.
 

fortsbest

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I saw him live for several games and the dude is a catch machine. I don't know if he makes it to the first and we could do worse in the 2nd if a killer DT wasn't there.
 

Cotton

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[h=1]Bob Sturm's 2016 Draft Profile Series: LaQuon Treadwell Is This Draft's Dez Bryant[/h]
By Bob Sturm, Special contributor Contact Bob Sturmon Twitter:@SportsSturm

I have never been a scout or a NFL General Manager, but I am willing to watch a ton of football. By watching about 200 snaps of each prospect, we can really get a feel for a player and then know what we are talking about a bit better. It is no exact science, but the NFL hasn't quite figured out drafting either, so we are going to do the best we can.To read more about the 2016 NFL Draft Project, Click Here.

Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss - 6'2, 219 - Junior - #1

There are times when you get to a prospect for the upcoming draft and you realize that most of the audience does not need an introduction to the player, but rather maybe just a showcase of what makes him what everyone knows he already is. LaQuon Treadwell is one of the very best players in this draft and just about everyone knew that whether he decided to come out in the 2016 or 2017 draft, he had all of the attributes of a Top 10 pick whenever he was available.
This goes back quite a while, as he was a 5-star Chicago kid who ended up at Mississippi after a long recruiting story 3 years back. He was productive as a true freshman, even better as a sophomore (until he suffered a broken leg), and then bounced back in 2015 with a season that featured 82 catches, 1,153 yards, 11 Touchdowns and a very dominant season where he routinely showcased that he is the best receiver in this draft.

But, to fixate on his statistics is to miss the point on the 20-year old who is built as a strong outside threat that simply cannot be pressed off the line of scrimmage, but also can get behind your coverage and if he gets any edge, he will win a battle for the ball in the air. He is a bully WR, who has the mentality of a tight end and offers massive added value with his blocking downfield that would be described as nothing less than vicious. He reminds many of Dez Bryant and that means he is either someone's #1 or possibly part of an unstoppable tandem with #88 himself if the Cowboys wanted to add a weapon at the #4 pick.







What I liked: He is so impressive in so many things. His work underneath is worth focusing on with drag routes or hooks where he gets the ball and then is a yards-after-catch machine, partly because he is so tough to corral and tackle. But, he also does a ton of damage over the top with his body position, unreal aerial skills, and just the size that had many calling him "MegaQuon" in college. He is devastating. But, then his downfield blocks where on running plays he is pancaking his man against the sideline and then peeling off and going after a trailing linebacker. He is off the charts on his downfield blocking and his overall physicality. He demands a double team and this, of course, offers math advantages all over the field elsewhere. You cannot press him and I don't see that changing much in the NFL. He makes things look easy and has sure hands. But, maybe his best attribute is he always seems engaged. Regardless of the score, I think Treadwell is playing as hard as anyone on the field which scores well for competitiveness and lets you know he has the tools and the mentality to be a star.







What I did not like: At the risk of leaving this area blank, I will confess that there is not a real long list. The issue with Treadwell that will be brought up is that he likely will not run well at the combine with most thinking he is somewhere between 4.5 and 4.6 in the 40. If you are looking for top end speed, then Treadwell might not be your guy. On the other hand, if you are looking for top end speed, you are evaluating WRs through a very odd lens. Dez Bryant was a 4.51 guy and I think if Treadwell is close to that, everything else looks great to me. I find it pretty difficult to look at a guy this young, this talented, and this competitive as anything less than a top talent. You might also have to build in the expectation that he is going to take a roughing penalty from time to time blocking downfield because he is not playing nice when he is hunting defenders.





Summary and Potential Fit For the Cowboys: By now, I have shown my cards on Laquon. He is fantastic and although I am not sure the Cowboys want to go WR at the top of the draft, this would give them another game breaker on an offense that might not have any after Dez. Think about it, last season when Dez was out - although they blame everything on the poor backup QB play - there was almost nothing special about the weapons on the offense making plays whether that be RB, TE, or WR. If all of your special play-makers on offense are just Bryant and your 36-year old QB, maybe taking an explosive WR is not that crazy of an idea.

Personally, I don't think the Cowboys go this route, but it isn't as crazy as I first thought before I spent time watching this guy. He is going to be a special player at the next level and a guy who demands your attention or he will simply dominate your defense. He is definitely in the top of the 1st round and a name to know for years to come.

You can view plenty of his tape here at Draftbreakdown.com.
 

Smitty

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Why do so many people have Treadwell rates lower than the top 5-10? He doesn't have off field issues does he?
 

Cowboysrock55

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Why do so many people have Treadwell rates lower than the top 5-10? He doesn't have off field issues does he?
Yep, he is an excellent talent. I'd like to see him get a little more separation but that's just not really the type of WR he is.
 

Jiggyfly

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Why do so many people have Treadwell rates lower than the top 5-10? He doesn't have off field issues does he?
There are real and legit questions if can do the same things he does in college against professional CB's.

He keeps getting compared to Dez but Dez is and was a much more explosive athlete.

Treadwell has real separation issues and that shows in these highlights, now he could just be one of those guys who overcomes the physical limitations by being mentally superior but I don't think you use a top pick betting on that.

He is not Julio Jones or AJ Green IMO, I think he is a great #2 that will always struggle being the focal point.
 

boozeman

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People keep comparing him to Crabtree to the point it is fucking ridiculous.
 

Cotton

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[h=1]Bob Sturm's 2016 NFL draft profile series: If Cowboys want Baylor star Corey Coleman, Round 2 may be too late[/h]
By Bob Sturm, Special contributor Contact Bob Sturmon Twitter:@SportsSturm

I have never been a scout or a NFL General Manager, but I am willing to watch a ton of football. By watching about 200 snaps of each prospect, we can really get a feel for a player and then know what we are talking about a bit better. It is no exact science, but the NFL hasn't quite figured out drafting either, so we are going to do the best we can.To read more about the 2016 NFL Draft Project, Click Here.

Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor - 5'11, 190 - RS Junior - #1

As we continue to work our way through the wide receivers at the top of the draft, we arrive at a fantastic prospect out of Richardson by way of Baylor in the form of the playmaker, Corey Coleman. He is electric in many ways and there is no doubt when it comes to one of the NFL's most valuable resources - speed - he has it in excess amounts. He was so productive that he beat LaQuon Treadwell and Josh Doctson out for the 2015 Biletnikoff Award which is given to the top WR in the nation.
He benefited greatly by playing in the Baylor system, which is designed to isolate coverage players in space where someone with a sprinter's extra gear can blow by the exposed defenders, and Coleman did this for 3 straight seasons with a number of different Quarterbacks. This past season when Seth Russell was the QB, Russell and Coleman dominated college football with absurd levels of production. As the season went along, Coleman's production dropped as did the Baylor QBs, as well as a sports hernia injury that he first attempted to play through and then had fixed with surgery which cost him the bowl game against North Carolina.

But, being dominant at Baylor does come with a few raised eyebrows amongst the NFL scouts, who try to factor system in their evaluation and find guys that translate to the next level. Josh Gordon certainly had no issue with this adjustment - save for multiple failures of substance abuse which has him indefinitely suspended. Kendall Wright, a 1st rounder in 2012 in Tennessee started with great promise but has fizzled, and Terrance Williams has had big play potential but an uneven overall resume in Dallas. We don't draft programs, we draft players, so much can be misread when we spend too much time painting all Baylor Wide Receivers with the same brush, but one can expect that this question will be raised as it does every year with Art Briles' offensive skill-position prospects.

That said, Coleman looks like a stud in any system.





What I liked: He is just so explosive. Baylor would frequently send him on a "go" route on the first series and send a message to the secondary all day that you are going to be challenged over the top. He has such speed separation that most defensive backs will be in a retreating posture the whole day, which means that the hitches and comebacks are always open. If he is even, he is gone as this sprinter has top end speed to take the top off the defense and then the catch skills on long passes will pass the tests as he finds the ball and brings it in. He has wonderful versatility and as an underneath threat will be a handful to corral in space. He is a very tough kid and will battle you. He doesn't back down to challenges. If you do replicate the Baylor offense's ability of forcing defenses into man coverage, the short passes are dangerous as he makes his guy miss and then is gone. He can play outside, in the slot, and even takes snaps at Running Back like Randall Cobb. But, his long skills are more like a bulkier version of DeSean Jackson (without the attitude).





What I did not like: Well, as with most sprinters who are sub-200 pounds, I would not expect a ton of physicality or help in the running game, but do not underestimate him when it comes to being tough enough. He likes to battle. In other words, he can do it, but it is rather rare. He will fight for the ball in tight spaces as he has a thickness to his built that allows him to compete well for slants, but it would be foolish to compare his muscle with LaQuon Treadwell. He is just a different type of guy. He is all about speed with ball skills, with hands that generally meet the standard but with occasional lapses in concentration, as he appears set on running before he has the ball. It isn't a big deal, but it shows up once in a while.





Summary and Potential Fit For the Cowboys: Every team in the league wants a big play threat and a home run hitter. Coleman scored 20 TDs last season and had them all by November 5th. He is dynamic and explosive and maybe the best over-the-top threat in this draft, with plenty of impressive skills to compliment it as a slot receiver and a WR screen specialist. In the NFL, you cannot have enough top end speed and guys who can take you the length of the field on 1-play. We talk about receivers getting separation from their man, well, either you have a safety over the top of Corey Coleman or he is going to get open. He has to be in the top handful of receivers in this draft and likely not to get out of the 1st round. But, if he does, the Cowboys would love this to start Round 2.

You can view plenty of his tape here at Draftbreakdown.com




 

Jiggyfly

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Would love him as young WR prospect and return guy but I would not take him before the 3rd.

He seems to be all over the place I have seen him in anywhere from the 1st to the 3rd.
 

GForce78NJ

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Dez Bryant was arguably the best player in the NFL draft in 2010. Laquon Treadwell although good will never sniff Dez Bryant's potential
 

boozeman

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Would love him as young WR prospect and return guy but I would not take him before the 3rd.

He seems to be all over the place I have seen him in anywhere from the 1st to the 3rd.
There are a few draftniks who have him as the best WR. I don't see it, but he is explosive.
 

Simpleton

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I agree that Treadwell is not as good of a prospect as Dez was coming out, I don't even think I'd take him over a Mike Evans coming out either. He's a very good prospect, and I'd be ok with him at 4 just because this is a weak top 10 but he isn't Dez, although I think he can be a 1. What he runs at the Combine will be huge though, if he can go below 4.5 that'd be a real boost to his stock.

I'd be fine with Coleman in the 2nd although I doubt he's there.
 

Rev

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Would love him as young WR prospect and return guy but I would not take him before the 3rd.

He seems to be all over the place I have seen him in anywhere from the 1st to the 3rd.
3rd because you don't think WR is as big a need for Dallas and want to address other areas or 3rd because you don't think he is worth a 1st or 2nd? Just curious.
 
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