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Then you have to look at how many teams are willing to make the running game the focal point to the extent they want to pay like that and of course, who has the room.I'd be truly shocked if someone gave him more than 9 a year, the only RB in recent memory who got more than that is Adrian Peterson and he is widely regarded as a once in a generation, HOF type of RB. It only takes one team of course but I really doubt anybody will give a guy coming off nearly 400 carries that much money, especially when you consider how much publicity our OL got.
The only place I see where the run game will be featured where there is not a top shelf back in place already is Buffalo. Ryan is going to push hard for that guy IMO, even though they have Jackson.
There are a handful of other teams like Oakland, the Jets and especially Jacksonville that might want to and can afford to throw money at him. A team like Indy might, but may not be in a position to make an offer sweet enough.
Overall, you just will have teams shuffling guys around, trading one free agent for another.
I think the market is thin and if Murray's inclination is to not be motivated by a few extra million a year, he'll be reasonable.