Cowlishaw: Dak Prescott is selling himself now, and that’s a problem for the Dallas Cowboys

Cotton

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By Tim Cowlishaw

12:50 PM on Feb 3, 2020

Jimmy Garoppolo was forced to settle for the quarterbacks’ bronze medal as he finished third in most surprising performances during Super Bowl week. Patrick Mahomes captured the gold not only by winning the game’s MVP award but by throwing an uncharacteristic two interceptions and forcing the Chiefs to stage their latest rally of the playoffs.

But Dak Prescott earned the silver medal by not only talking about his lack of a contract but doing it in defiant terms. Among other things, Prescott told The Dallas Morning News’ David Moore “be sure to report” that he won’t be working out anywhere near The Star. This, by Dak’s choirboy standards, was somewhere between a fist in the air and a middle finger to Cowboys management.

“You would hope and you would think something is going to get done, right? I mean, you would have thought something would have gotten done before [last] season," Prescott said.

For a solid year, Prescott has never said more than that he leaves the business of contract talks to his agents. He played out his entire rookie deal in 2019, leaving an approximate $100 million in guaranteed money on the table.

His timing is interesting. Prescott, for the first time, reminded the public that he has the leverage here, not the team. This isn’t like Ezekiel Elliott a year ago. As a first-round pick, Elliott had a fifth-year option on his contract. He was miles away from real free agency. On top of that, he had second-class status as a running back. And the Cowboys caved anyway.

As a fourth-round pick, Prescott’s contract has expired. As the only experienced quarterback on the squad, he possesses all the cards.

The club has a new head coach and an obvious desire to have Prescott leading offseason workouts as the team tries to meld Mike McCarthy’s offensive approach — to this point, entirely different from what Dallas has been running — with Kellen Moore’s play-calling. That coaching change, in itself, adds leverage to Prescott’s case.

There is a March 10 deadline that will come quickly. If the Cowboys and Prescott have not reached a long-term agreement at that date, the Cowboys will franchise him to retain his rights. That will pay Prescott a lot of money but only for one season and it will cause the club to take a roughly $28 million salary cap hit for one player. If Prescott signs a longer, more lucrative deal, the cap hit can be made smaller through the use of bonus money.

“I don’t think any of that’s necessary," Prescott said, when he was asked about the franchise tag. “That’s business. That’s all calculated. That’s all on them."

Again, these are not the kinds of words anyone has heard from him since he arrived four years ago from Mississippi State. The Prescott who spent a few hours serving meals in the Miami Rescue Mission last week is the one with which we are familiar. The one that chides Cowboys management for slow-playing his contract is a new character.

As the Cowboys have no other options at quarterback, Prescott’s leverage increases. And yet this comes at a time when one has to examine exactly where he belongs in the pecking order of young quarterbacks. Mahomes just won a Super Bowl MVP. Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson won a league MVP award.

That, as Jason Garrett would say, is line one.

Beyond that, you have Jared Goff who took the Rams to a Super Bowl and the heavily asterisked Carson Wentz who has led the Eagles to three straight playoff trips and a Super Bowl without really doing anything himself in the postseason. Houston’s Deshaun Watson has achieved the same playoff record as Prescott in less time (1-2) and owns a better regular-season win percentage. Garoppolo, slightly older but young in terms of playing time, fits into the bottom of this mix.

Who knows in two years whether Cleveland’s Baker Mayfield, the Jets’ Sam Darnold, the Giants’ Daniel Jones, Washington’s Dwayne Haskins, Arizona’s Kyler Murray or even Joe Burrow or Trevor Lawrence will have jumped into the discussion of top-five young quarterbacks. By then, Prescott may have reached the midpoint of his career.

It’s funny that some praise him for being second in passing yards in 2019, as if that is some marvelous achievement. They rarely mention that Tampa Bay’s Jameis Winston was No. 1. If that is the model, what exactly is the goal here? Leaders in passing yards are simply guys whose teams trailed in the fourth quarter.

For now, Prescott is reminding us — in so many words — that the Cowboys lack other options and that if they want to continue on this offensive course, he will need to be paid among the highest-salaried quarterbacks in the league. It’s no longer about whether he deserves as much or more than Goff or Wentz. It’s that the Joneses have allowed him to play a waiting game in which the money goes only one direction, and a new CBA in 2021 will merely increase the dollars available to the top players in the game.

Perhaps one day Prescott will be at a Super Bowl to do more than hawk his many products. The fact that this week he paused to publicly hawk himself is a reminder to the Cowboys that contract talks, even with good guys, don’t have to stay on friendly terms forever.
 

P_T

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Franchisee Dak, trade him to Cincinnati for their #1, sign Brady to a two year deal, then draft Burrow.
 

NoDak

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Franchisee Dak, trade him to Cincinnati for their #1, sign Brady to a two year deal, then draft Burrow.
If you were the Bengals, would you trade the #1 overall for Dak?

I sure wouldn't. And I like Dak.
 

Cowboysrock55

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If you were the Bengals, would you trade the #1 overall for Dak?

I sure wouldn't. And I like Dak.
Not with Burrow there. Maybe if Kyler Murray was your best option at QB at pick 1.
 

fortsbest

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I don't want to pay Dak any more than he's been offered. I don't really want them to pay him that. He racked up numbers against poor teams or because they got way behind. He was pretty much skunked when it was time to show up against quality.
 

ravidubey

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Franchisee Dak, trade him to Cincinnati for their #1, sign Brady to a two year deal, then draft Burrow.
Cincy would be stupid to make that trade.

If Dallas didn’t have faith in Dak, why should Cincy rebuild around him when they can bring in Burrow at a fraction of the cost?
 

ravidubey

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I don't want to pay Dak any more than he's been offered. I don't really want them to pay him that. He racked up numbers against poor teams or because they got way behind. He was pretty much skunked when it was time to show up against quality.
This is my problem with the guy. I mean people were jizzing themselves as he dominated the Detroit Lions just like they were when he showed any competence as a rookie.

He ain’t a rookie. He should be leading us to initial points against quality competitors, especially with the embarrassment of offensive talent around him.

But he can’t throw into tight windows with any kind of accuracy. Guys have to be open, period, before he even entertains the possibility of a pass.

And God help us if he has to rush a crossing pattern— 9 times out of 10 the throw is behind the receiver.
 

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This is my problem with the guy. I mean people were jizzing themselves as he dominated the Detroit Lions just like they were when he showed any competence as a rookie.

He ain’t a rookie. He should be leading us to initial points against quality competitors, especially with the embarrassment of offensive talent around him.

But he can’t throw into tight windows with any kind of accuracy. Guys have to be open, period, before he even entertains the possibility of a pass.

And God help us if he has to rush a crossing pattern— 9 times out of 10 the throw is behind the receiver.
How about we wait to see what he does with a competent coaching staff before we pass eternal judgement on Dak?
 

ravidubey

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How about we wait to see what he does with a competent coaching staff before we pass eternal judgement on Dak?
It’s not eternal, obviously. The kid has a lot of career left.

But this isn’t a Jim Plunkett languishing on a bad team to be rescued later by Flores and great supporting talent.

Dak is a legit 3rd/4th round pick talent wise. He NEEDs coaching, and for four years he’s imprinted on a cuckoo.
 

Cotton

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Dak is a legit 3rd/4th round pick talent wise.
I do not agree with this at all. If not in the top 5 he is damn close. That is not 3rd/4th round talent. It's 1st/2nd round talent.
 

Cowboysrock55

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This is my problem with the guy. I mean people were jizzing themselves as he dominated the Detroit Lions just like they were when he showed any competence as a rookie.

He ain’t a rookie. He should be leading us to initial points against quality competitors, especially with the embarrassment of offensive talent around him.

But he can’t throw into tight windows with any kind of accuracy. Guys have to be open, period, before he even entertains the possibility of a pass.

And God help us if he has to rush a crossing pattern— 9 times out of 10 the throw is behind the receiver.
Or the reciever drops it...
 

Cowboysrock55

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I do not agree with this at all. If not in the top 5 he is damn close. That is not 3rd/4th round talent. It's 1st/2nd round talent.
Yeah Ravi won't give up his Dak hate no matter what. He went quiet during the season when Dak was blowing it up but it's funny how the critics come back out after the season.
 

data

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How about we wait to see what he does with a competent coaching staff before we pass eternal judgement on Dak?
Yeah Ravi won't give up his Dak hate no matter what. He went quiet during the season when Dak was blowing it up but it's funny how the critics come back out after the season.
ANY/A as an isolated stat has one of the highest correlations to winning. Romo didn’t post his first season over 8.00 until 2014 — his seventh year as a starter. Before that, we had to deal with dumb sacks, and big TDs with big INTs.

Dak isn’t the gunslinger Romo is, but more efficiency with less back-breaking plays resulting in same effectiveness as Romo’s career (sans one season in 2014).

Dak has career 6.92 ANY/A, including his worst games.

Romo’s 6.94 ANY/A from 2007-2013 (excludes his best season)

Almost identical.
 
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data

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As reference to ANY/A:
Tom Brady 7.51 (2007-2019)
Aaron Rodgers 7.4 (2009-2019)
Drew Brees 7.38 (2006-2019)
Philip Rivers 6.93 (2006-2019)
Matt Ryan 6.82 (2010-2019)
Matt Stafford 6.47 (2011-2019)
 
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ravidubey

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Yeah Ravi won't give up his Dak hate no matter what. He went quiet during the season when Dak was blowing it up but it's funny how the critics come back out after the season.
I was hardly quiet about his “blowing up” and how overrated it was as he managed to do it only against literally the worst of teams. People were calling Dak a top-five QB largely based on six performances vs teams drafting in the top five.

And that same group never, EVER holds him accountable for anything. It’s always the fault of Connor Williams, the defense, Jerry, or Garrett.

He got that benefit of the doubt as a rookie.

He isn’t a rookie anymore. He’s the proud owner of a 2-8 record against teams not drafting in the top six.

He had one of the most talented fronts, WR corps, and running games to support him.

He must be held accountable. He isn’t a top five QB let alone a top five talent in the whole draft.

Dak can play, but he is not a difference maker. He’s not. Sorry.
 

ravidubey

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As reference to ANY/A:
Tom Brady 7.51 (2007-2019)
Aaron Rodgers 7.4 (2009-2019)
Drew Brees 7.38 (2006-2019)
Philip Rivers 6.93 (2006-2019)
Matt Ryan 6.82 (2010-2019)
Matt Stafford 6.47 (2011-2019)
Alright. So now we have a stat that perfectly measures QB play.

There really is no such thing because so many other factors affect it.

Numbers don’t capture it. But I will say Dak is very good at throwing for a lot of yards when opposing defenses let off the gas.

Funny how Dallas is so damned bad at winning games we don’t take an early lead in.

Of course, Dak is accountable for none of that. It’s all Jerry up in his suite jinxing us on game day.
 

data

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Alright. So now we have a stat that perfectly measures QB play.
I trust ANY/A more than your opinion. Of those eight QBs for the past 10 years, how many of those games have you analyzed?

When it comes down to it, Romo and Dak both are quite inconsistent enough to be consistently insufficient at getting to an NFCC.
 

ravidubey

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I trust ANY/A more than your opinion. Of those eight QBs for the past 10 years, how many of those games have you analyzed?

When it comes down to it, Dak
I don’t trust any stat next to what I can see clear as day on the field. We have an above-average and still unproven QB in Dallas.

I don’t know of many QB that improve their actual talent level much after four full years of starting.

You’re saying Dak is already there and I’m disagreeing.

No stat is going to change my mind except actual wins vs quality teams where that guy is clearly the difference maker.
 
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