"Shit's Gonna Hit the Fan": Talking to a Billionaire About Class War

BipolarFuk

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Nick Hanauer, a venture capitalist who was one of the first investors in Amazon, has the distinction of being one of America’s few progressive billionaires. We spoke to him about the class war—which he is busily fighting.

Hanauer drew attention last year for writing an op-ed in Politico warning his “fellow zillionaires” that “the pitchforks are coming” if something is not done to address America’s growing economic inequality. Since then, he has been producing a steady stream of blog posts and essays calling for higher pay for low-wage workers and other measures designed to boost the fortunes of the declining lower and middle classes.

Yesterday, the Seattle-based investor was in New York testifying in favor of a $15 per hour minimum wage for fast food workers. He stopped by our office afterwards to talk.

Gawker: Why did you decide to speak at the fast food wage hearing today?

Nick Hanauer: I flew out to do testimony obviously because they asked me to, but [also] because I was at the forefront of the effort to pass $15 minimum wage in Seattle, and have been collaborating with the people who are trying to make that happen across the country.

Gawker: And your message is: it worked in Seattle, and it can work here?

NH: Yeah. My message is that the counterclaim—which is that if wages go up, employment will go down—is a scam. It’s a con job. It’s an intimidation tactic. There is absolutely no evidence anywhere that it’s true. On the contrary, where you find high wages you usually find low unemployment.

Gawker: It’s a bit of a chicken and egg situation though, isn’t it? Which came first, the high wages, or the strong economy in the place that has the high wages? The typical rejoinder is, “higher wages drive down employment.”

NH: Show me an example. Show me an example of where high wages drove down employment. You show me a high wage place, I’ll show you a low unemployment place. And this is because the fundamental law of capitalism is: when workers have more money, businesses have more customers, and need more workers. The idea that high wages equals low employment, it’s absurd. And you have to understand that when somebody like me tells somebody like you that [high wages equals low employment] is the case, the only thing that’s true about that statement is that if I can get you to believe it, it would be very good for me. Which is why people like me have been saying it, again and again and again, and why people like me have said it at every point at which workers’ rights have been advanced. You can go back 150 years and literally find the same people saying the same thing in the same way. “If we have to pay you more, it will be bad for you.” And that’s because saying that is a much more polite way of saying, “I’m rich, you’re poor, and I would prefer to keep it what way.”

Gawker: It’s just the fast food industry up for discussion in New York right now, but do you think the minimum wage across the board everywhere should be $15 an hour?

NH: Of course. Fast food workers are all the governor has power to enact. Your state legislature is held hostage by the same nitwits that hold hostage the federal [government]. People who have confused suffocating collectivism, which is bad, for a necessity to solve collective action problems, which is what all human endeavor is based on.

Gawker: Is raising minimum wages the best approach to tackling economic inequality in America today?

NH: Raising the minimum wage a lot across the board would make a big difference. It’s not the only thing, but it’s an indispensable part of solving the problem. Raising the minimum wage is very efficient. Everybody’s on the same playing field, it’s a very simple rule, it doesn’t require a lot of administration, you don’t have to negotiate anything. It just is what it is. And Americans today spend a minimum of $150 billion a year in tax subsidies that go to people not who don’t have jobs, but who have jobs, and are in poverty. There is no earthly reason why Walmart and McDonald’s and Walgreens and these other giant, profitable institutions should have one worker in need of public assistance. It’s ridiculous. And it’s not just getting them out from under the need for public assistance; it’s like, that’s what drives the economy! The person earning the federal minimum wage of $7.25 isn’t going out to eat at restaurants. They’re not taking piano lessons. They’re not going to the gym or the yoga studio. They’re not sending mom flowers on Mother’s day. What good is this person in the economy? If you raise it to $15 an hour, they’re doing all of those things. And all of a sudden, not just business thrives, but small business thrives.

Gawker: What else is part of the package of addressing inequality, besides raising the minimum wage?

NH: Raising the overtime threshold—something that is about to happen. This is more complex so not as many people understand it, but it’s equally consequential. The overtime threshold is to the middle class as the minimum wage is to low-wage workers. What the overtime threshold is is the salary level below which your employer is required to pay you overtime if you work more than 40 hours a week. When we had a thriving middle class 40 years ago, two thirds of salaried workers were entitled to overtime if they worked more than 40 hours a week. As a consequence, we had relatively low unemployment, and people went home at a reasonable hour and could take care of their families and their kids.

Today, the average full time worker works 47 hours a week. And they work those [extra] seven hours mostly for free, because today, less than 10% of salaried workers are entitled to overtime. If you earn more than $23,600 a year—if your employer pitches you a fake title like “assistant manager,” they don’t have to pay you overtime. And as a consequence, all over the country people are working for $27,000 a year and working 70 hours a week doing basically: one person doing the job of one and a half. So as an employer I can get two people to do the work of three, and think about what that does for profits... what I’ve done effectively is not just increase my profits, but I’ve taken a job out of the economy, and in so doing I’ve softened the labor market. And the softer the labor market is, the more leverage I have in my wage negotiations. And as a consequence we have this relatively high persistent unemployment. But if employers have to pay people overtime, they’re not going to want to do that. So now I’m going to have to get three people to do the job where two were doing it before. I add a person to the work force. I reduce the level of unemployment. I increase the level of demand in the economy. And I put upward pressure on wages.

The president has unilateral ability to raise that threshold through a rule through the Labor Department. And within two weeks, the Labor Department will announce what that rule is, what that new threshold is. And I can tell you that the shit is going to hit the fan.

Gawker: What is the new threshold going to be?

NH: I cannot tell you. I’m telling you, the shit’s gonna hit the fan.

Gawker: Let’s touch on taxes too. Where do you think the tax rate for high earners should be?

NH: I think there’s about a 41% federal tax rate on income above a few hundred thousand bucks right now. If that rate applied to all income greater than $500,000, I think you’d solve the problem.

Gawker: Including capital gains [currently taxed at a lower rate than regular income]?

NH: Yeah, everything. You make a capital gain of a few hundred thousand dollars? Congratulations. But why should you have this ridiculously low cap gains rate on a $500 million windfall? You’re gonna be fine no matter what that tax rate is. It’s ridiculous to think that people won’t want to create those gains if the tax rate’s a little bit higher. Of course they will. In fact they’ll want to work harder to get it, because they get to keep less of it.

Gawker: Did your politics change when you got very wealthy? Or at a certain point did you just decide you had to speak out more?

NH: I was more conservative when I was younger. But I don’t think that I’ve moved left—I think the country has moved right. I think the idea that giant profitable corporations should pay their workers enough so that they don’t need food stamps—since when is that left wing? How did that become “leftie?” That doesn’t seem leftie to me. That seems common sense.

Gawker: You wrote that op-ed in Politico warning that the pitchforks could come for the rich. Do you think there’s a tipping point of inequality where parts of society start to break down, and what is it?

NH: Yes. If you understand what the words “tipping point” mean, if you understand the mathematics of complex systems, then you recognize that the challenge is that you never know where that tipping point is. You only know that if things continue as they are, it will come. And it’s extraordinarily difficult to predict when and where that tipping point will occur, which is what makes it so very very dangerous. If we knew where the tipping point was, we could very comfortably ride right up to the edge of it. But you don’t know. What was the tipping point in Ferguson? You know? It takes just one thing, and all of a sudden everything is burning.

Gawker: What have you found the reaction to be among other very wealthy people to your positions on these issues?

NH: It’s changed. At first people got very angry, because it wasn’t that long ago that talking about economic inequality was not a legitimate part of civil discourse. It sounded to people like “class warfare,” or just an attack on perfectly nice rich people... [but] it has changed a lot from anger into acceptance. I wouldn’t say enthusiasm. But in general people understand that this is an issue we have to face.

Gawker: For the members of the top 0.1% who believe this is a real issue, what’s the best way for them to attack it? Is it just to give more money to charity, or to get involved in politics?

NH: It’s about political leadership. If you care about real change, deep structural change, that involves politics, and all politics is friction. It takes leadership, and the willingness to create that friction, that leads to social change. When I first started talking about this stuff it made my peers angry. There’s much more acceptance today. But if I’m realistic, it’s not getting me invited to the country club, either. This is not a way to endear yourself to your rich friends.
 

Smitty

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If this moron thinks that raising the minimum wage to $15/hr wouldn't immediately reduce employment, he's a fucking retard.

Why not make it $50/hr? Everyone would be great, then, right?

Oops, it's because employers don't have 50/hr to pay people. They don't have 15 either. Not every McDonalds franchise owner is a billionaire, idiot. I know liberals think wealth distribution is the key because it makes the money flow downhill to poor people, but jesus, at least have a clue as to what sources you need to redistribute from.

Small business owners would be ruined because the vast majority of them are simple middle class workers themselves who might be making 80k-100k a year instead of 20k, but considering that for a person they pay a salary of 20k to, they actually end up spending more like 40k because of payroll taxes, insurance, 401k, etc, doubling the salary of 1 or 2 employees would basically break that business owner.

This guy is clearly just a liberal democrat getting on a media soapbox to promote his socialist agenda without having any idea of how it would play out in real life. Can they even get their talking points right? I thought "the rich" was the top 1%, and it was their fault for sitting on all the wealth? Now this guy is telling me that the "pitchforks are coming" because businesses -- the VAST majority of which are small businesses, and thus far in excess of "the 1%," and are not sitting on huge lump sums of wealth -- aren't paying their employees unaffordable government mandated salaries? GTFO.

I can tear a hole into the logic of just about every single one of these paragraphs easily.
 
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L.T. Fan

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If this moron thinks that raising the minimum wage to $15/hr wouldn't immediately reduce employment, he's a fucking retard.

Why not make it $50/hr? Everyone would be great, then, right?

Oops, it's because employers don't have 50/hr to pay people. They don't have 15 either. Not every McDonalds franchise owner is a billionaire, idiot. I know liberals think wealth distribution is the key because it makes the money flow downhill to poor people, but jesus, at least have a clue as to what sources you need to redistribute from.

Small business owners would be ruined because the vast majority of them are simple middle class workers themselves who might be making 80k-100k a year instead of 20k, but considering that for a person they pay a salary of 20k to, they actually end up spending more like 40k because of payroll taxes, insurance, 401k, etc, doubling the salary of 1 or 2 employees would basically break that business owner.

This guy is clearly just a liberal democrat getting on a media soapbox to promote his socialist agenda without having any idea of how it would play out in real life. Can they even get their talking points right? I thought "the rich" was the top 1%, and it was their fault for sitting on all the wealth? Now this guy is telling me that the "pitchforks are coming" because businesses -- the VAST majority of which are small businesses, and thus far in excess of "the 1%," and are not sitting on huge lump sums of wealth -- aren't paying their employees unaffordable government mandated salaries? GTFO.

I can tear a hole into the logic of just about every single one of these paragraphs easily.
Yep. Like this hasn't been exposed years ago in basic economics understanding. I am amazed that some still take the bait.
 

boozeman

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Small business owners would be ruined because the vast majority of them are simple middle class workers themselves who might be making 80k-100k a year instead of 20k, but considering that for a person they pay a salary of 20k to, they actually end up spending more like 40k because of payroll taxes, insurance, 401k, etc, doubling the salary of 1 or 2 employees would basically break that business owner.
Small businesses are already struggling and I bet in 30 years the concept will be nothing but a fond memory.

Simple facts are that the rising cost of labor through wage increases will force that reality. That and the structure of the welfare system makes it too easy for your average unskilled worker to just sit at home.

Raising minimum wages does not matter. It just doesn't. I see it happening every day.

Where I work, the hourly wages for workers has risen nearly two dollars per hour over the past three months with minimal effects on turnover.

Why? Because the average worker can just sit at home, play the welfare game, smoke dope, use their free smart phone and blame the rich.

Nothing will change with that until there is full class reform, not targeting one end of the spectrum.
 

Cowboysrock55

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If this moron thinks that raising the minimum wage to $15/hr wouldn't immediately reduce employment, he's a fucking retard.

Why not make it $50/hr? Everyone would be great, then, right?
I also reduces return on investment. If someone is thinking about opening a business and needs say a 6% return on investment in order to make it worthwhile. That business plan may be functional if employees are making $9.00 an hour. However if you raise that to $15.00 an hour suddenly you can't reach that 6% return on investment and the business never opens and those jobs are never created in the first place. When a person opens a business, weather they are a wealthy billionaire or an average Joe, they incur a substantial risk. If suddenly you reduce the potential for large gains, then no one is going to be willing to take that risk.

The real problem isn't the low wages. It's the lack of jobs available to drive up the average wage. It's a simple supply and demand curve. Increase the demand for workers and the wages will go up.
 

Cowboysrock55

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Small businesses are already struggling and I bet in 30 years the concept will be nothing but a fond memory.

Simple facts are that the rising cost of labor through wage increases will force that reality. That and the structure of the welfare system makes it too easy for your average unskilled worker to just sit at home.

Raising minimum wages does not matter. It just doesn't. I see it happening every day.

Where I work, the hourly wages for workers has risen nearly two dollars per hour over the past three months with minimal effects on turnover.

Why? Because the average worker can just sit at home, play the welfare game, smoke dope, use their free smart phone and blame the rich.

Nothing will change with that until there is full class reform, not targeting one end of the spectrum.
I can't wait until the minimum wage goes up and suddenly McDonalds find's it more profitable to automate their workers and everyone gets laid off.
 

shane

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This guy is a jerkoff who probably got his money from contracts or some sort of favors with the government. Now he's parroting their propaganda and BS. Piss on him.

I can't wait until the minimum wage goes up and suddenly McDonalds find's it more profitable to automate their workers and everyone gets laid off.
Then it will be evil capitalism's fault and onto the next terrible, socialist scheme to send America down the shitter even faster.
 

townsend

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If there was a minimum wage raise it should only happen at the civic level. No way minimum wage Natchez Mississippi should be anywhere close to minimum wage in Seattle. That being said, right down the street from me In-N-Out is hiring at 10.50 an hour. Businesses need employees, businesses will pay more money for where employees are needed, even ones without specific skills.
Gov't intervention just gums it all up, and takes away incentives for workers to try harder, and businesses to compete for good workers. Good economies are built on competition.
 

dallen

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If there was a minimum wage raise it should only happen at the civic level. No way minimum wage Natchez Mississippi should be anywhere close to minimum wage in Seattle. That being said, right down the street from me In-N-Out is hiring at 10.50 an hour. Businesses need employees, businesses will pay more money for where employees are needed, even ones without specific skills.
Gov't intervention just gums it all up, and takes away incentives for workers to try harder, and businesses to compete for good workers. Good economies are built on competition.
It should probably be tied to local cost of living
 

townsend

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It should probably be tied to local cost of living
That'd be a huge improvement. It's always fun to see businesses that pay their employees dog crap fight for any kind of employee once a big production plant comes in and hires everyone up. Places like Morgan City, LA big companies are get a lot more bang for their labor buck thanks to low COL.
 

boozeman

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If there was a minimum wage raise it should only happen at the civic level. No way minimum wage Natchez Mississippi should be anywhere close to minimum wage in Seattle. That being said, right down the street from me In-N-Out is hiring at 10.50 an hour. Businesses need employees, businesses will pay more money for where employees are needed, even ones without specific skills.
Gov't intervention just gums it all up, and takes away incentives for workers to try harder, and businesses to compete for good workers. Good economies are built on competition.
Uh, do you see what is happening with MW in all states?

I have two coasts in my business dealing with it.

I see it from the worker side and the business side.

And I am sad to say, the minimum wage debate doesn't mean shit.

It just means those on the lower strata think they are entitled to being paid something they haven't earned.

I worked for shit wages. I didn't decide to be a victim.
 
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