Fisher: The Cap-Related Secret Behind Cowboys’ ‘Replacement’ Draft Picks

boozeman

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The Cap-Related Secret Behind Cowboys’ ‘Replacement’ Draft Picks

Mike Fisher for 105.3 The Fan | CBSDFW.com

May 3, 2013 3:11 PM


IRVING (105.3 THE FAN) – Dallas Cowboys coach Jason Garrett sat at the podium in a late-night NFL Draft press conference ostensibly to celebrate the second-round selection of tight end Gavin Escobar. Yet Garrett repeatedly steered the conversation back to deferential bows to the Cowboys’ established icon at the position, Jason Witten.

“Jason Witten is arguably the best tight end in the National Football League,’’ Garrett said, time and time again … as if to suggest that the drafting of Escobar has nothing to do with eventually replacing Witten.

But it does. Garrett doth protest too much. Escobar’s presence has almost everything to do with eventually replacing Witten.

And third-rounder Terrance Williams’ presence has almost everything to do with eventually replacing receiver Miles Austin.

And fourth-rounder B.W. Webb’s presence has almost everything to do with eventually replacing nickel corner Orlando Scandrick.

And fifth-rounder Joseph Randle’s presence has almost everything to do with eventually replacing running back DeMarco Murray.

This is the part of the Cowboys’ draft that Jerry and Stephen Jones indisputably got right, the part that is beyond the scope of the personnel department. The scouts rate players; the Joneses are charged with listening to those rankings while also trying to “Asset-Manage’’ the entire organization.



Consider:

*While Witten is indeed an elite player and is signed through 2017, a source indicates his contract is structured in such a way that Dallas could escape from it without much penalty before the start of 2015 season. (My man OCC of “Blogging The Boys’’ notes it would only cost $1.824 million in prorated signing bonus to cut Witten after the 2015 season.) So instead of paying Witten about $7 million a year at that point, then can conceivably hand the job to Escobar. A second-round pick right now will be paid approximately $800,000 a year.

*Starting in 2014, Austin’s salaries for the final three years on his contract are $5.5 million, $6.9 million and $11.4 million. You can imagine the appeal of replacing him with Williams. A third-round pick right now will be paid approximately $500,000.

*Scandrick’s salary next spring jumps to $3.5 million. But cutting him would cost $5.7 million. (As OCC notes, that could be mitigated by making him a June 1 cut). Scandrick’s release can more likely come just before the 2015 season, when his salary jumps to $5 million, and the cost of cutting him drops to $3.6 million. Instead of paying him that $5 mil, Dallas can replace him with Webb. A fourth-round pick right now will be paid approximately $465,000.

*Murray’s 2014 salary is a bargain just $755,469, as he will be playing on the final year of his rookie contract. But if Randle pans out, he’ll be available to replace Murray at a cost of less than $500,000 a year – and Dallas won’t feel obliged to re-up a potentially fragile player at the vulnerable-to-injury position of running back.

Just as Dallas is trying to manage its cap now by getting Doug Free’s cost down so linebacker Sean Lee can be given an extension this summer (something to watch for at training camp), the Cowboys have their eyes on extensions for young standouts Dez Bryant and Tyron Smith, both of whom would be good fits for new deals in 2015.

So all of this automatically signals “death’’ for the likes of Witten, Austin, Scandrick and Murray? That’s a bit morbid. So let’s say it another way: The Cowboys’ cap-minded selections of Escobar, Williams, Webb and Randle signal “life’’ for Dallas’ future salary cap.
 

SfielDallas

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Miles and Scan....f em. Murray, it's too early.

If they cut Witten while he is still producing.....
 

ravidubey

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Every team does this and those who do it best succeed in the playoffs with deep and injury-resistant rosters.
 

Simpleton

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I agree about Webb and Williams replacing Scandrick/Austin at some point in the next few years but Murray (if he can stay healthy) and especially Witten certainly aren't going anywhere anytime soon.
 

Cujo

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I agree about Webb and Williams replacing Scandrick/Austin at some point in the next few years but Murray (if he can stay healthy) and especially Witten certainly aren't going anywhere anytime soon.

I agree with you but hedging your bets at rb is never a bad idea, esp given our lack of depth at the position. I'd have preferred Ellington though.
 

Simpleton

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I agree with you but hedging your bets at rb is never a bad idea, esp given our lack of depth at the position. I'd have preferred Ellington though.
Agreed, we should've taken Franklin in the 3rd or 4th and then taken whatever schlub small-school DB we wanted afterwards.
 

Cujo

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Agreed, we should've taken Franklin in the 3rd or 4th and then taken whatever schlub small-school DB we wanted afterwards.

Yep, I like Franklin, too. I think he will be solid. Randle may be also, but I just don't feel as sure about him as I did about a few others.
 

Jiggyfly

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I agree about Webb and Williams replacing Scandrick/Austin at some point in the next few years but Murray (if he can stay healthy) and especially Witten certainly aren't going anywhere anytime soon.
Thats not to soon for Witten we are talking about 2 more years, do you think he will be playing at a 7 million dollar level at that point?
 

Simpleton

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Thats not to soon for Witten we are talking about 2 more years, do you think he will be playing at a 7 million dollar level at that point?
During his age 33 season?

Yes I think it's very possible that he is.
 

fortsbest

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I like listening to Fisher on the Fan when he talks Cowboys, but in this case I think he's attributing far to much intelligence to the Jones Boys. They just aren't that smart.
 

boozeman

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I like listening to Fisher on the Fan when he talks Cowboys, but in this case I think he's attributing far to much intelligence to the Jones Boys. They just aren't that smart.
Correct.
 

Bluestar71

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Jerry Jones will not cut Witten unless he starts breaking down and can't get on the field. It could be Witten has privately told them he may retire in a few more seasons.
 

ravidubey

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Jerry Jones will not cut Witten unless he starts breaking down and can't get on the field. It could be Witten has privately told them he may retire in a few more seasons.
With Witten turning 31 tomorrow it's not too early to think his production may decline. Tony Gonzalez is a once-in-a-generation freak. Witten is great, but we can't expect him to continue to be as great for as long as Gonzo.

What's disappointing about Escobar is his utter lack of speed. Witten is no track star but he's fast enough where his long stride and big body naturally creates separation in the open field. Romo might have to be perfect to get it to Escobar vs. NFL linebackers. Good hands can only take you so far. Still it won't suck gaining another dimension in the red zone where speed is not as important, but that is too much of a niche for a 2nd round pick.
 

Clay_Allison

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I don't see Escobar sucking so bad he can't get open versus linebackers. Most TEs win that battle. It's when they put a safety out there on them and they can't get open and they still can't run that the 2 TE offense breaks down.
 

L.T. Fan

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I said it before and I will say it again......Escobar' s immediate role will be to give Witten some breather time during the season. In time (if he developes properly) he will be Witten' s replacement. I see him playing 3 to 4 more years.
 

skidadl

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So you use the draft to make sure that you aren't screwed a few years done the road. Like, foresight and stuff?

Brilliant.
 

VA Cowboy

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If they want a TE to replace Witten in a couple of years then they should've drafted one who could catch and block, not just a slow pass catcher. If they want a #2 TE, then they should've found a blocking TE and that could be had later in the draft. Escobar will have to eventually become a quality starter for us in order for this pick to make sense. But I doubt he has much more success than Fasano or Bennett.
 
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