Schmitty believes bringing in a can't-fail prospect will have a higher chance of success than the Every-3-years-trial-and-error method...based on what?
1. Can't-Fail prospects fail just as much as anyone else, it seems. Is Lincoln Riley any better than Nick Saban, Steve Spurrier, Chip Kelly who all flamed out of the NFL?
2. Today's can't-fail coaches - Belichick and Sean Payton - weren't can't fail prospects when they were first hired by the Patriots and Saints. They'd be classified as retread (Browns) and not-can't-fail (from Cowboys).
Even if we hire a now-considered-can't-fail Belichick or Sean Payton in 2020, are the chances really any better of duplicating their success, ie Dolphins Jimmy Johnson, than any other direction?
3. Trial-and-error coaches and retreads may have a short flame, but several have reached at least the Championship Game and truly a missed tackle or fumble from winning the whole damn thing -- Ken Whisenhunt, Mike Smith, Doug Marrone, John Fox, Dan Quinn, Gary Kubiak, Doug Pederson, Mike McCarthy (was a who is he? prospect pre-Packers).